OfftheNumber
at
Sun Oct 18 · 1 PMCBSParamount+Raymond James Stadium

The number

Spread
PIT -2.5 -115
TB +2.5 -105
Open PIT -2.5
Fair, no vig: PIT -104 / TB +104 (hold 4.7%)
Best: PIT -2.5 -110 at theScore Bet; TB +2.5 -105 at DraftKings
Total
Over 39.5 -110
Under 39.5 -110
Fair, no vig: O -100 / U -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: O 38.5 -115 at FanDuel; U 39.5 -110 at BetRivers
Moneyline
PIT -145
TB +120
Fair, no vig: PIT -130 / TB +130 (hold 4.6%)
Best: PIT -139 at Caesars; TB +125 at Hard Rock Bet

Updated Fri 2:55 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (10)
BookPITTBOverUnderPIT MLTB ML
DraftKings-2.5-115+2.5-105o39.5-108u39.5-112-148+124
FanDuel-2.5-115+2.5-105o38.5-115u38.5-105-142+120
BetMGM-2.5-115+2.5-105o39-110u39-108-145+120
Caesars-2.5-115+2.5-105o39.5-106u39.5-114-139+118
theScore Bet-2.5-110+2.5-110o38.5-115u38.5-105-140+120
BetRivers-2.5-114+2.5-107o39.5-110u39.5-110-148+120
Fanatics-2.5-115+2.5-105o39-110u39-110-145+120
Hard Rock Bet-2.5-115+2.5-105o39-110u39-110-145+125
Bally Bet-2.5-114+2.5-107o39.5-110u39.5-110-148+120
betPARX-2.5-114+2.5-107o39.5-110u39.5-110-148+120

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Injury report

From the NFL official injury report (NFL.com). Checked Fri 2:52 PM ET. Teams post practice reports Wednesday to Friday and game statuses Friday. We check every 30 minutes then and on game day. See the official report

Pittsburgh

Missed practice: Ben Skowronek (WR), Roman Wilson (WR)

4 more limited in practice, no game status yet.

Tampa Bay

Missed practice: Antoine Winfield Jr. (S), Baker Mayfield (QB)

5 more limited in practice, no game status yet.

No status changes since the first report we saw (Fri 2:52 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.

Line movement

-1-2-3-4key 3OpenNow
PIT line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
38394041OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We don't copy them here. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Betting form, 2026

Pittsburgh WLWLW

ATSTotals
All games3-2 60%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Road0-2 0%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As favorite2-1 67%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Tampa Bay LLLLW

ATSTotals
All games1-4 20%Small sample2-3 40% overSmall sample
Home0-3 0%Small sample1-2 33% overSmall sample
As underdog1-2 33%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Steelers Buccaneers
Bengals
W 30-27 home
+3 · +3.5 Covered
L 27-33 away
-6 · +3.5 Didn't cover
Browns
L 24-27 away
-3 · -2.5 Didn't cover
L 19-23 home
-4 · -8.5 Didn't cover

Against 2 common opponents: Steelers broke even on average, 1-1 against the spread. Buccaneers lost by 5.0 on average, 0-2 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 7 common opponents
Opponent Steelers Buccaneers
Bills
L 7-26 home
-19 · +3 Didn't cover
L 32-44 away
-12 · +6.5 Didn't cover
Lions
W 29-24 away
+5 · +7.5 Covered
L 9-24 away
-15 · +6.5 Didn't cover
Texans
L 6-30 home
-24 · +3 Didn't cover
W 20-19 away
+1 · +2.5 Covered
Dolphins
W 28-15 home
+13 · -3 Covered
L 17-20 away
-3 · -5.5 Didn't cover
Patriots
W 21-14 away
+7 · -1.5 Covered
L 23-28 home
-5 · -2.5 Didn't cover
Jets
W 34-32 away
+2 · -2.5 Didn't cover
W 29-27 home
+2 · -6.5 Didn't cover
Seahawks
L 17-31 home
-14 · -3.5 Didn't cover
W 38-35 away
+3 · +3.5 Covered

Against 7 common opponents: Steelers lost by 4.3 on average, 3-4 against the spread. Buccaneers lost by 4.1 on average, 2-5 against the spread.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 16, 2022TB 18, PIT 20TB -9.5PIT covered46.5Under

Pittsburgh 1-0 ATS in these meetings. 1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

PITTB
3-2Record1-4
3-2Against the spread1-4
3-2Over-under2-3
-0.4Avg cover margin-1.5
22.2Points per game20.0
21.8Points allowed22.4
5.65Yards per play5.32
348.0Yards per game323.4
4.70Rush yards per carry4.90
59.1Completion %65.6
32.8Third down %38.2
+3Turnover margin+0
14Sacks allowed17
49.6Penalty yards per game58.2

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

The Friday Number

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