CFB · 2026 betting profile
Arkansas Razorbacks
2-4 straight up · 2-4 ATS · 1-5 over-under · #76 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
at
Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt CommodoresSpreadArkansas +6
Total50.5
Moneyline+190
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -5.4 |
| Home | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +0.1 |
| Road | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -16.5 |
| Favorite | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1.2 |
| Underdog | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -7.5 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -3.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7.3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -1.8 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-5 | 17% | Small sample | -7.7 |
| Home | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -8.2 |
| Road | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -6.5 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Non-conference | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -10.8 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -5.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Tennessee | L 17-24 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 51.5 | U -10.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Texas A&M | L 7-34 | +13.5 | L -13.5 | 51.5 | U -10.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Tulsa | W 34-6 | -7 | W +21 | 51.5 | U -11.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Georgia | L 17-45 | +24.5 | L -3.5 | 54.5 | O +7.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Utah | L 10-43 | +13.5 | L -19.5 | 55.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs North Alabama Lions | W 31-14 | -40.5 | L -23.5 | 63.5 | U -18.5 |
Close is Arkansas's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | 1-5 | 17% | -5.4 |
| 2025 | 2-10 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 8-3 | 73% | -4 |
| 2024 | 7-6 | 8-4 | 67% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +4.2 |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 8-4 | 67% | -5.7 |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 6-6-1 | 50% | Small sample | 9-3-1 | 75% | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 9-4 | 8-4-1 | 67% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +2.6 |
| 2020 | 3-7 | 6-3 | 67% | Small sample | 4-6 | 40% | +3.5 |
| 2019 | 2-10 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.