CFB · 2026 betting profile
East Carolina Pirates
3-3 straight up · 2-4 ATS · 1-5 over-under · #88 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameThu Oct 22, 7:30 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
at
Memphis Tigers
Memphis TigersLineNot posted yet
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -5.1 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -2.7 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7.5 |
| Favorite | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -6.6 |
| Underdog | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -2 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -6.2 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -4.2 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-5 | 17% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Home | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -6.2 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -2.8 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0% | Small sample | -6.5 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | at UAB | L 17-30 | -5.5 | L -18.5 | 49.5 | U -2.5 |
| Oct 10 | vs Rice | W 28-12 | -10 | W +6 | 46.5 | U -6.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs North Carolina Central Eagles | W 42-9 | -37.5 | L -4.5 | 58.5 | U -7.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Old Dominion | W 20-17 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 48.5 | U -11.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs App State | L 24-27 | -6.5 | L -9.5 | 55.5 | U -4.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Alabama | L 10-48 | +28.5 | L -9.5 | 52.5 | O +5.5 |
Close is East Carolina's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | 1-5 | 17% | -5.1 |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +7.6 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 67% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +3.4 |
| 2023 | 2-10 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | +2 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | PK |
| 2021 | 7-5 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 4-7-1 | 36% | +4.7 |
| 2020 | 3-6 | 5-4 | 56% | Small sample | 6-3 | 67% | +4.4 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 4-7 | 36% | -1.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.