OfftheNumber
38
vs
4-1, 2-3 ATS
41
FinalABCESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
LOU +6.5
MISS -6.5
Open –
Total
Over 54.5
Under 54.5

Source: DraftKings.

LOU 38, MISS 41. LOU covered by 3.5, over by 24.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread1 capper on Louisville
Louisville 10 Ole Miss
Moneyline5 of 5 on Ole Miss
Louisville 05 Ole Miss

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 2 common opponents
Opponent Louisville Ole Miss
Kentucky
W 41-0 home
+41 · +1.5 Covered
W 30-23 away
+7 · -7.5 Didn't cover
Miami
W 24-21 away
+3 · +10.5 Covered
L 27-31 neutral
-4 · +3 Didn't cover

Against 2 common opponents: Louisville won by 22.0 on average, 2-0 against the spread. Ole Miss won by 1.5 on average, 0-2 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 Louisville0 Ole Miss
Louisville -71
Tom Fornelli Line -7 · Price -112 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 3 9:19 AM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on Ole Miss, Kirk Herbstreit on Ole Miss, Desmond Howard on Ole Miss, Pat McAfee on Ole Miss, Nick Saban on Ole Miss

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Louisville WWWLLW

ATSTotals
All games4-2 67%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
As underdog1-0 100%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Ole Miss LLWLW

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
As favorite1-2 33%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 6, 2026LOU 38, MISS 41MISS -6.5LOU covered54.5Over
Sep 6, 2021LOU 24, MISS 43MISS -9MISS covered73.5Under

Louisville 1-1 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2021-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

LOUMISS
3-3Record4-1
4-2Against the spread2-3
5-1Over-under3-2
+2.3Avg cover margin+0.1
39.5Points per game38.8
27.7Points allowed28.0
7.57Yards per play6.38
494.5Yards per game433.8
6.30Rush yards per carry4.40
69.6Completion %68.9
44.8Third down %43.1
+7Turnover margin+1
11Sacks allowed5
74.5Penalty yards per game65.6

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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