OfftheNumber
at
2-3, 2-3 ATS
Sat Oct 17 · 7:30 PMACC NetworkESPN UnlimitedJMA Wireless Dome

The number

Spread
LOU -14.5 -113
SYR +14.5 -108
Open LOU -13.5 moved 1
Fair, no vig: LOU -102 / SYR +102 (hold 5.0%)
Best: LOU -14.5 -110 at FanDuel; SYR +15.5 -110 at Hard Rock Bet
Total
Over 55.5 -112
Under 55.5 -108
Fair, no vig: O -102 / U +102 (hold 4.8%)
Best: O 55.5 -105 at theScore Bet; U 56 -112 at Bally Bet
Moneyline
LOU -700
SYR +500
Fair, no vig: LOU -525 / SYR +525 (hold 4.2%)
Best: LOU -650 at DraftKings; SYR +500 at Bally Bet

Updated Fri 3:30 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookLOUSYROverUnderLOU MLSYR ML
DraftKings-14.5-112+14.5-108o55.5-112u55.5-108-650+470
FanDuel-14.5-110+14.5-110o55.5-112u55.5-108-690+480
BetMGM-15-115+15-115o55.5-110u55.5-108-650+500
Caesars-14.5-113+14.5-107o55.5-110u55.5-110-675+475
theScore Bet-14.5-115+14.5-105o55.5-105u55.5-115-700+450
BetRivers-15.5-110+15.5-113o56-110u56-113-770+500
Hard Rock Bet-15.5-110+15.5-110o55.5-115u55.5-105-700+500
Bally Bet-15.5-109+15.5-112o56-109u56-112-715+500
betPARX-15.5-109+15.5-112o56-109u56-112-715+500

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

Key numbers crossed: 14 (LOU -13.5 to LOU -14.5). In football, moving through 3 or 7 changes a bet's value far more than other half points.

-12-13-14-15-16-17key 14OpenNow
LOU line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
54555657OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Injury report

From the ACC availability report (Thursday report). Posted Thu 8 PM ET. Schools file it the three nights before the game and 2 hours before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

Louisville
Out
  • Antonio Watts DB
  • Anwar O'neal OL
  • Bryten Close OT
  • DJ Waller Jr. DB
  • Hamilton Atkins TE
  • Jacob Baker P
  • James Glover-Tyson OL
  • Sam Dawson DL
  • Sam Secrest OL
  • Travis Egan TE
Questionable
  • Dylan Mesman TE
  • Keyjuan Brown RB
  • Micah Carter DL
Probable

Cason Henry (OL), Daylen Russell (DL), Stanquan Clark (LB)

Syracuse
Out
  • Amari Odom QB
  • D'Joni Scatliffe OL
  • Darien Williams WR
  • Jackson Iak OL
Questionable
  • Malachi Nelson QB
  • Steve Angeli QB
  • Antoine Deslauriers LB
  • Joe Cruz OL
  • Tripp Woody K

What changed and what the line did

  1. Line moved 1 pt toward SYR (LOU -15.5 to LOU -14.5).

Lines from our snapshots of 10 legal US books. A move right after news doesn't prove the news caused it, but it's usually why.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
Opponent Louisville Syracuse
Boston College
W 38-24 home
+14 · -25.5 Didn't cover
L 12-34 home
-22 · +2.5 Didn't cover
Clemson
L 19-20 home
-1 · -2.5 Didn't cover
W 34-21 away
+13 · +17.5 Covered
Miami
W 24-21 away
+3 · +10.5 Covered
L 10-38 away
-28 · +28.5 Covered
Pittsburgh
W 34-27 away
+7 · -3.5 Covered
L 13-30 home
-17 · +8.5 Didn't cover
SMU
L 6-38 away
-32 · +3.5 Didn't cover
L 18-31 away
-13 · +17.5 Covered

Against 5 common opponents: Louisville lost by 1.8 on average, 2-3 against the spread. Syracuse lost by 13.4 on average, 3-2 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026

Louisville WWWLLW

ATSTotals
All games4-2 67%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Road0-1 0%Small sample1-0 100% overSmall sample
As favorite3-2 60%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Syracuse WLLLW

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Home1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog1-1 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 3, 2022LOU 7, SYR 31LOU -5.5SYR covered55.5Under
Nov 13, 2021SYR 3, LOU 41LOU -3LOU covered55.5Under
Nov 20, 2020SYR 0, LOU 30LOU -19.5LOU covered55.5Under
Nov 23, 2019SYR 34, LOU 56LOU -7.5LOU covered65Over

Louisville 3-1 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

LOUSYR
3-3Record2-3
4-2Against the spread2-3
5-1Over-under3-2
+2.3Avg cover margin+4.5
39.5Points per game32.8
27.7Points allowed24.0
7.57Yards per play5.42
494.5Yards per game447.4
6.30Rush yards per carry3.90
69.6Completion %59.5
44.8Third down %45.6
+7Turnover margin-1
11Sacks allowed10
74.5Penalty yards per game95.6

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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