The number
Updated Fri 4:10 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.
Every book (9)
| Book | TOL | EMU | Over | Under | TOL ML | EMU ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -6.5-115 | +6.5-105 | o52.5-115 | u52.5-105 | -245 | +200 |
| FanDuel | -6.5-118 | +6.5-102 | o52.5-115 | u52.5-105 | -250 | +202 |
| BetMGM | -6.5-120 | +6.5-108 | o52.5-110 | u52.5-108 | -235 | +200 |
| Caesars | -6.5-114 | +6.5-106 | o52.5-110 | u52.5-110 | -250 | +200 |
| theScore Bet | -6.5-120 | +6.5+100 | o52.5-110 | u52.5-110 | -250 | +210 |
| BetRivers | -7-114 | +7-109 | o53.5-109 | u53.5-114 | -286 | +220 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -6.5-120 | +6.5+100 | o53.5-105 | u53.5-110 | -275 | +210 |
| Bally Bet | -7-107 | +7-114 | o53.5-107 | u53.5-113 | -275 | +210 |
| betPARX | -7-113 | +7-108 | o53.5-107 | u53.5-113 | -286 | +220 |
Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.
Line movement
Key numbers crossed: none (TOL -5 to TOL -6.5).
Our crowd
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Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent |  Toledo |  Eastern Michigan |
|---|---|---|
 Michigan St | L 20-30 away -10 · +10 Push | L 7-35 away -28 · +17.5 Didn't cover |
Against 1 common opponent: Toledo lost by 10.0 on average, 0-0-1 against the spread. Eastern Michigan lost by 28.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 7 common opponents
| Opponent | Toledo | Eastern Michigan |
|---|---|---|
 Ball St | W 38-9 home +29 · -28.5 Covered | W 24-9 away +15 · -2.5 Covered |
 Bowling Green | L 23-28 away -5 · -10.5 Didn't cover | W 27-21 home +6 · -3.5 Covered |
 Central Michigan | W 21-3 away +18 · -10.5 Covered | L 13-24 away -11 · +3.5 Didn't cover |
 Kentucky | L 16-24 away -8 · +9.5 Covered | L 23-48 away -25 · +26.5 Covered |
 Miami (OH) | W 24-3 away +21 · -6.5 Covered | L 30-44 away -14 · +11.5 Didn't cover |
 Northern Illinois | W 42-3 home +39 · -15.5 Covered | W 16-10 home +6 · +1.5 Covered |
 Western Michigan | L 13-14 away -1 · -11.5 Didn't cover | L 21-31 home -10 · +7 Didn't cover |
Against 7 common opponents: Toledo won by 13.3 on average, 5-2 against the spread. Eastern Michigan lost by 4.7 on average, 4-3 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026
Toledo PWLWLL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3-1 40%Small sample | 5-1 83% overSmall sample |
| Road | 0-1-1 0%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 2-3 40%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Eastern Michigan LLLWWL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-4 43%Small sample | 2-5 29% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-1 67%Small sample | 0-3 0% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-2 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
7 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | TOL 29, EMU 28 | TOL -10.5 | EMU covered | 54.5 | Over |
| Nov 8, 2023 | EMU 23, TOL 49 | TOL -20.5 | TOL covered | 45 | Over |
| Oct 29, 2022 | TOL 27, EMU 24 | TOL -4 | EMU covered | 54 | Under |
| Nov 2, 2021 | EMU 52, TOL 49 | TOL -9.5 | EMU covered | 54 | Over |
| Nov 18, 2020 | TOL 45, EMU 28 | TOL -6.5 | TOL covered | 61.5 | Over |
| Oct 26, 2019 | EMU 34, TOL 37 | TOL -3 | Push | 52 | Over |
Toledo 2-3 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2024 · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
 TOL | EMU  | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 4-3 |
| 2-3-1 | Against the spread | 3-4 |
| 5-1 | Over-under | 2-5 |
| -0.6 | Avg cover margin | -1.2 |
| 36.7 | Points per game | 22.6 |
| 25.2 | Points allowed | 24.7 |
| 6.61 | Yards per play | 4.83 |
| 454.8 | Yards per game | 326.3 |
| 5.10 | Rush yards per carry | 3.80 |
| 63.1 | Completion % | 61.8 |
| 43.4 | Third down % | 43.1 |
| +5 | Turnover margin | +4 |
| 3 | Sacks allowed | 8 |
| 69.0 | Penalty yards per game | 43.4 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.