The number
Updated Fri 3 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.
Every book (9)
| Book | UNLV | AF | Over | Under | UNLV ML | AF ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +1.5-110 | -1.5-110 | o47.5-115 | u47.5-105 | -105 | -115 |
| FanDuel | +1.5-114 | -1.5-106 | o48.5-105 | u48.5-115 | -106 | -113 |
| BetMGM | +1-108 | -1-110 | o47.5-115 | u47.5-105 | -105 | -112 |
| Caesars | +1.5-112 | -1.5-108 | o48-110 | u48-109 | -108 | -111 |
| theScore Bet | +1.5-115 | -1.5-105 | o48.5-105 | u48.5-115 | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | +0.5-112 | -0.5-112 | o48.5-110 | u48.5-113 | -112 | -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5-115 | -1.5-110 | o48.5-110 | u48.5-110 | -110 | -110 |
| Bally Bet | -0.5-110 | +0.5-109 | o48.5-108 | u48.5-112 | -112 | -112 |
| betPARX | -0.5-110 | +0.5-109 | o48.5-108 | u48.5-112 | -112 | -112 |
Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.
Injury report
From the Mountain West availability report (Initial Report). Posted Thu 5:28 PM ET. First report a couple days out, then a final report before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report
- Austin Boyd OL
- CJ Besser DL
- Cohen Fuller DL
- Cole Albrecht LB
- DeAngelo Irvin Jr. WR
- Landyn Cleveland S
- Quandarius Keyes DB
- Tevita Tausinga OL
- Jackson Arnold QB
- Andreas Diaz-Nicolaidis TE
- Avery Helm CB
- Griffin Scroggs OL
- Jai'Den Thomas RB
- Joe Metzger OL
- Kayden McGee WR
- Taeshaun Lyons WR
- Tre Fulton DB
- Liam Szarka QB
- Chaz Barnett DL
- Ehimen Oyamendan DB
- Houston Hendrix DB
- Jordan Elie-Stuart DB
- Griffin Stalfort TE
- Sylas Maiava-Alaimalo WR
No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 5:28 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.
Line movement
Key numbers crossed: none (UNLV -1.5 to AF -1.5).
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
Each capper counts once. See their picks
Tracker bettors
Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We don't copy them here. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Betting form, 2026
UNLV LWLWWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 67%Small sample | 1-5 17% overSmall sample |
| Road | 2-1 67%Small sample | 0-3 0% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-0 100%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Air Force WLLWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 60%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-1 67%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 3-1 75%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent | ||
|---|---|---|
W 13-7 home +6 · +3 Covered | L 32-38 home -6 · +1.5 Didn't cover |
Against 1 common opponent: UNLV won by 6.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Air Force lost by 6.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 6 common opponents
| Opponent | ||
|---|---|---|
L 31-56 away -25 · +13.5 Didn't cover | L 37-49 home -12 · +11.5 Didn't cover | |
L 21-38 away -17 · +6 Didn't cover | - | |
W 42-10 away +32 · -4.5 Covered | W 42-21 away +21 · no line | |
W 38-10 home +28 · -2.5 Covered | L 35-44 home -9 · -6.5 Didn't cover | |
L 35-40 home -5 · -4.5 Didn't cover | L 3-20 home -17 · +3.5 Didn't cover | |
W 29-26 home +3 · -4.5 Didn't cover | L 30-49 away -19 · -3.5 Didn't cover | |
W 31-17 away +14 · -4.5 Covered | W 24-21 home +3 · -3.5 Didn't cover |
Against 6 common opponents: UNLV won by 4.3 on average, 3-4 against the spread. Air Force lost by 5.5 on average, 0-5 against the spread.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | AF 48, UNLV 51 | UNLV -7.5 | AF covered | 66.5 | Over |
| Nov 18, 2023 | UNLV 31, AF 27 | AF -3 | UNLV covered | 46.5 | Over |
| Oct 15, 2022 | AF 42, UNLV 7 | AF -10 | AF covered | 50 | Under |
| Nov 26, 2021 | UNLV 14, AF 48 | AF -18 | AF covered | 49.5 | Over |
UNLV 1-3 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
| AF | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 4-1 |
| 4-2 | Against the spread | 3-2 |
| 1-5 | Over-under | 2-3 |
| -1.5 | Avg cover margin | +2.6 |
| 23.0 | Points per game | 28.8 |
| 20.8 | Points allowed | 17.4 |
| 5.33 | Yards per play | 5.42 |
| 369.7 | Yards per game | 400.0 |
| 4.40 | Rush yards per carry | 5.10 |
| 56.1 | Completion % | 47.9 |
| 37.4 | Third down % | 53.8 |
| +6 | Turnover margin | +1 |
| 16 | Sacks allowed | 3 |
| 71.5 | Penalty yards per game | 47.8 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
What the public cappers like
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

