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Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent |  Western Michigan |  Toledo |
|---|---|---|
 Buffalo | W 20-17 away +3 · -13.5 Didn't cover | L 8-23 home -15 · -18.5 Didn't cover |
Against 1 common opponent: Western Michigan won by 3.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Toledo lost by 15.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
| Opponent | Western Michigan | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
 Ball St | W 42-0 home +42 · -9.5 Covered | W 38-9 home +29 · -28.5 Covered |
 Central Michigan | W 24-21 home +3 · -5.5 Didn't cover | W 21-3 away +18 · -10.5 Covered |
 Miami (OH) | L 17-26 away -9 · +2.5 Didn't cover | W 24-3 away +21 · -6.5 Covered |
W 23-13 neutral +10 · -2.5 Covered | - | |
 Northern Illinois | W 35-19 away +16 · -6.5 Covered | W 42-3 home +39 · -15.5 Covered |
Against 4 common opponents: Western Michigan won by 12.4 on average, 3-2 against the spread. Toledo won by 26.8 on average, 4-0 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026
Western Michigan WWLLLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 50%Small sample | 3-3 50% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-2 33%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Toledo PWLWLL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3-1 40%Small sample | 5-1 83% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-2 50%Small sample | 3-1 75% overSmall sample |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | TOL 13, WMU 14 | TOL -11.5 | WMU covered | 48.5 | Under |
| Sep 23, 2023 | WMU 31, TOL 49 | TOL -21.5 | WMU covered | 51.5 | Over |
| Nov 25, 2022 | TOL 14, WMU 20 | TOL -8.5 | WMU covered | 50.5 | Under |
| Oct 23, 2021 | WMU 15, TOL 34 | WMU -1.5 | TOL covered | 54.5 | Under |
| Nov 11, 2020 | TOL 38, WMU 41 | WMU -1.5 | WMU covered | 58.5 | Over |
| Oct 5, 2019 | WMU 24, TOL 31 | TOL -1.5 | TOL covered | 68.5 | Under |
Western Michigan 4-2 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
 WMU | TOL  | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 4-2 |
| 3-3 | Against the spread | 2-3-1 |
| 3-3 | Over-under | 5-1 |
| +3.5 | Avg cover margin | -0.6 |
| 25.7 | Points per game | 36.7 |
| 17.3 | Points allowed | 25.2 |
| 5.32 | Yards per play | 6.61 |
| 330.7 | Yards per game | 454.8 |
| 4.30 | Rush yards per carry | 5.10 |
| 67.6 | Completion % | 63.1 |
| 43.2 | Third down % | 43.4 |
| +8 | Turnover margin | +5 |
| 8 | Sacks allowed | 3 |
| 48.2 | Penalty yards per game | 69.0 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.