CFB · 2026 betting profile
Iowa State Cyclones
3-3 straight up · 2-3-1 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #45 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 24, TBATV TBA
at
Arizona Wildcats
Arizona WildcatsSpreadIowa State +10
Total50.5
Moneyline+300
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3-1 | 40% | Small sample | +4.3 |
| Home | 1-2-1 | 33% | Small sample | +4.4 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +4.2 |
| Favorite | 1-1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +8 |
| Underdog | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +0.7 |
| Conference | 0-2-1 | 0% | Small sample | -3 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +11.7 |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 50% | Small sample | +5.5 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +3.8 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +12.2 |
| Road | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -13 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +7.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +0.2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +5.5 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | at BYU | L 10-24 | +11.5 | L -2.5 | 46.5 | U -12.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs West Virginia | W 45-42 | -3 | P PK | 53.5 | O +33.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Utah | L 17-31 | +7.5 | L -6.5 | 46.5 | O +1.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Bowling Green | W 55-7 | -22.5 | W +25.5 | 43.5 | O +18.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Iowa | L 13-16 | +14 | W +11 | 42.5 | U -13.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W 38-10 | -29.5 | L -1.5 | 52.5 | U -4.5 |
Close is Iowa State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 2-3-1 | 40% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | +4.3 |
| 2025 | 8-4 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | +2.1 |
| 2024 | 11-3 | 8-6 | 57% | Small sample | 8-6 | 57% | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +6.2 |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 4-7-1 | 36% | Small sample | 3-9 | 25% | -3.5 |
| 2021 | 7-6 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -1.1 |
| 2020 | 9-3 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | +4.9 |
| 2019 | 7-6 | 5-7-1 | 42% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | -0.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.