Source: DraftKings.
DET 31, BUF 41. BUF covered by 4.5, over by 17.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  Lions |  Bills |
|---|---|---|
 Ravens | W 38-30 away +8 · +4.5 Covered | W 41-40 home +1 · +1.5 Covered |
 Bengals | W 37-24 away +13 · -9.5 Covered | W 39-34 home +5 · -6 Didn't cover |
 Browns | W 34-10 home +24 · -10.5 Covered | W 23-20 away +3 · -10.5 Didn't cover |
 Chiefs | L 17-30 away -13 · +2.5 Didn't cover | W 28-21 home +7 · +2.5 Covered |
 Eagles | L 9-16 away -7 · +2.5 Didn't cover | L 12-13 home -1 · -3.5 Didn't cover |
 Steelers | L 24-29 home -5 · -7.5 Didn't cover | W 26-7 away +19 · -3 Covered |
 Buccaneers | W 24-9 home +15 · -6.5 Covered | W 44-32 home +12 · -6.5 Covered |
Against 7 common opponents: Lions won by 5.0 on average, 4-3 against the spread. Bills won by 6.6 on average, 4-3 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Detroit LLPLW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-3-1 25%Small sample | 5-0 100% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-2 33%Small sample | 3-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 0-1 0%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 25%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Buffalo WWWLW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 80%Small sample | 4-1 80% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-1 67%Small sample | 2-1 67% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 3-1 75%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | DET 31, BUF 41 | BUF -5.5 | BUF covered | 54.5 | Over |
| Dec 15, 2024 | BUF 48, DET 42 | DET -2.5 | BUF covered | 55.5 | Over |
| Nov 24, 2022 | BUF 28, DET 25 | BUF -9.5 | DET covered | 54.5 | Under |
Detroit 1-2 ATS in these meetings. 3 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
NFL, 2022-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total
 DET | BUF  | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 4-1 |
| 1-3-1 | Against the spread | 4-1 |
| 5-0 | Over-under | 4-1 |
| -0.1 | Avg cover margin | +1.1 |
| 32.8 | Points per game | 32.8 |
| 29.6 | Points allowed | 28.2 |
| 6.19 | Yards per play | 6.91 |
| 411.2 | Yards per game | 407.8 |
| 4.40 | Rush yards per carry | 5.40 |
| 67.0 | Completion % | 65.9 |
| 37.3 | Third down % | 50.0 |
| +4 | Turnover margin | -3 |
| 11 | Sacks allowed | 10 |
| 51.6 | Penalty yards per game | 72.4 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.
Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.
