Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
GB 17, TB 14. GB covered by 0.5, under by 7.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent |  Packers |  Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
 Vikings | L 22-39 away -17 · +2.5 Didn't cover | L 16-23 home -7 · -1.5 Didn't cover |
Against 1 common opponent: Packers lost by 17.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Buccaneers lost by 7.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
| Opponent | Packers | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
 Cardinals | W 27-23 away +4 · -6.5 Didn't cover | W 20-17 home +3 · -4.5 Didn't cover |
 Panthers | L 13-16 home -3 · -13.5 Didn't cover | L 20-23 away -3 · -3 Didn't cover |
| - | W 16-14 home +2 · -3 Didn't cover | |
 Lions | W 27-13 home +14 · -1.5 Covered | L 9-24 away -15 · +6.5 Didn't cover |
W 31-24 away +7 · no line | - | |
 Eagles | L 7-10 home -3 · -1.5 Didn't cover | L 25-31 home -6 · +3.5 Didn't cover |
Against 4 common opponents: Packers won by 3.8 on average, 1-3 against the spread. Buccaneers lost by 3.8 on average, 0-5 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026 to date
Green Bay LLLWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 40%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-2 33%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-2 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Tampa Bay LLLLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 20%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Home | 0-3 0%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-2 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 20%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | GB 17, TB 14 | GB -2.5 | GB covered | 38.5 | Under |
| Dec 17, 2023 | TB 34, GB 20 | GB -4 | TB covered | 41 | Over |
| Sep 25, 2022 | GB 14, TB 12 | TB -1.5 | GB covered | 42 | Under |
| Jan 24, 2021 | TB 31, GB 26 | GB -3.5 | TB covered | 53 | Over |
| Oct 18, 2020 | GB 10, TB 38 | GB -3 | TB covered | 54.5 | Under |
Green Bay 2-3 ATS in these meetings. 5 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
NFL, 2020-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
 GB | TB  | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 1-4 |
| 2-3 | Against the spread | 1-4 |
| 2-3 | Over-under | 2-3 |
| -2.9 | Avg cover margin | -1.5 |
| 20.8 | Points per game | 20.0 |
| 22.4 | Points allowed | 22.4 |
| 5.82 | Yards per play | 5.32 |
| 342.0 | Yards per game | 323.4 |
| 3.10 | Rush yards per carry | 4.90 |
| 60.5 | Completion % | 65.6 |
| 27.6 | Third down % | 38.2 |
| +4 | Turnover margin | +0 |
| 10 | Sacks allowed | 17 |
| 73.8 | Penalty yards per game | 58.2 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.