OfftheNumber
vs
1-4, 2-3 ATS
Sun Oct 25 · 9:30 AMNFL NetworkESPN UnlimitedStade de France

The number

Spread
PIT -2 -112
NO +2 -109
Open –
Fair, no vig: PIT -101 / NO +101 (hold 5.0%)
Best: PIT -1.5 -110 at Caesars; NO +2.5 -110 at DraftKings
Total
Over 44 -109
Under 44 -112
Fair, no vig: O +101 / U -101 (hold 5.0%)
Best: O 43.5 -115 at theScore Bet; U 44.5 -110 at DraftKings
Moneyline
PIT -136
NO +114
Fair, no vig: PIT -123 / NO +123 (hold 4.4%)
Best: PIT -132 at FanDuel; NO +120 at DraftKings

Updated Fri 3:55 PM ET Consensus of 7 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (7)
BookPITNOOverUnderPIT MLNO ML
DraftKings-2.5-110+2.5-110o44.5-110u44.5-110-142+120
FanDuel-1.5-118+1.5-104o44.5-102u44.5-120-132+114
Caesars-1.5-110+1.5-110o44.5-106u44.5-114-137+116
theScore Bet-1.5-115+1.5-105o43.5-115u43.5-105-135+115
BetRivers-2-112+2-109o44-109u44-112-136+112
Bally Bet-2-112+2-109o44-109u44-112-136+112
betPARX-2-112+2-109o44-109u44-112-136+112

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Off The Number users

Not enough picks yet. A split shows once 10 users pick this game. Add yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Steelers Saints
Falcons
W 20-13 home
+7 · -6.5 Covered
L 24-45 home
-21 · -1.5 Didn't cover

Against 1 common opponent: Steelers won by 7.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Saints lost by 21.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 6 common opponents
Opponent Steelers Saints
Bills
L 7-26 home
-19 · +3 Didn't cover
L 19-31 away
-12 · +14.5 Covered
Bears
L 28-31 away
-3 · +2.5 Didn't cover
L 14-26 away
-12 · +3.5 Didn't cover
Dolphins
W 28-15 home
+13 · -3 Covered
L 17-21 away
-4 · no line
Patriots
W 21-14 away
+7 · -1.5 Covered
L 19-25 home
-6 · +3.5 Didn't cover
Jets
W 34-32 away
+2 · -2.5 Didn't cover
W 29-6 home
+23 · -7 Covered
Seahawks
L 17-31 home
-14 · -3.5 Didn't cover
L 13-44 away
-31 · +6.5 Didn't cover

Against 6 common opponents: Steelers lost by 2.3 on average, 2-4 against the spread. Saints lost by 7.0 on average, 2-3 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026

Pittsburgh WLWLW

ATSTotals
All games3-2 60%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
As favorite2-1 67%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

New Orleans WWLLL

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
As underdog2-1 67%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Nov 13, 2022NO 10, PIT 20PIT -1PIT covered39.5Under

Pittsburgh 1-0 ATS in these meetings. 1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

NFL, 2022 · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

PITNO
3-2Record1-4
3-2Against the spread2-3
3-2Over-under3-2
-0.4Avg cover margin-4
22.2Points per game23.6
21.8Points allowed30.2
5.65Yards per play5.11
348.0Yards per game341.6
4.70Rush yards per carry3.50
59.1Completion %66.8
32.8Third down %45.8
+3Turnover margin-2
14Sacks allowed13
49.6Penalty yards per game42.8

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

The Friday Number

One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.

Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.