The number
Updated Fri 3:55 PM ET Consensus of 7 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.
Every book (7)
| Book | TB | CAR | Over | Under | TB ML | CAR ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3-110 | -3-110 | o44.5-110 | u44.5-110 | +136 | -162 |
| FanDuel | +2.5-102 | -2.5-120 | o43.5-105 | u43.5-115 | +128 | -152 |
| Caesars | +3-114 | -3-106 | o43.5-110 | u43.5-110 | +133 | -157 |
| theScore Bet | +3-110 | -3-110 | o43.5-105 | u43.5-115 | +135 | -155 |
| BetRivers | +2.5-106 | -2.5-115 | o43.5-112 | u43.5-109 | +125 | -152 |
| Bally Bet | +2.5-106 | -2.5-115 | o43.5-112 | u43.5-109 | +125 | -152 |
| betPARX | +2.5-106 | -2.5-115 | o43.5-112 | u43.5-109 | +125 | -152 |
Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.
Our crowd
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Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent |  Buccaneers |  Panthers |
|---|---|---|
 Browns | L 19-23 home -4 · -8.5 Didn't cover | L 18-21 away -3 · -2.5 Didn't cover |
Against 1 common opponent: Buccaneers lost by 4.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Panthers lost by 3.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 10 common opponents
| Opponent | Buccaneers | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
 Cardinals | W 20-17 home +3 · -4.5 Didn't cover | L 22-27 away -5 · +6.5 Covered |
 Falcons | W 23-20 away +3 · +1.5 Covered | W 30-0 home +30 · +4.5 Covered |
L 28-29 home -1 · -6 Didn't cover | W 30-27 away +3 · +4.5 Covered | |
 Bills | L 32-44 away -12 · +6.5 Didn't cover | L 9-40 home -31 · +7.5 Didn't cover |
 Rams | L 7-34 away -27 · +7.5 Didn't cover | W 31-28 home +3 · +10 Covered |
| - | L 31-34 home -3 · +10 Covered | |
 Dolphins | L 17-20 away -3 · -5.5 Didn't cover | W 27-24 home +3 · +1.5 Covered |
 Patriots | L 23-28 home -5 · -2.5 Didn't cover | L 13-42 away -29 · +3 Didn't cover |
 Saints | W 23-3 away +20 · -3.5 Covered | L 7-17 home -10 · -5.5 Didn't cover |
L 20-24 home -4 · -7.5 Didn't cover | L 17-20 away -3 · -2.5 Didn't cover | |
 Jets | W 29-27 home +2 · -6.5 Didn't cover | W 13-6 away +7 · +1.5 Covered |
 49ers | W 30-19 home +11 · -3.5 Covered | L 9-20 away -11 · +7 Didn't cover |
 Seahawks | W 38-35 away +3 · +3.5 Covered | L 10-27 home -17 · +6.5 Didn't cover |
Against 10 common opponents: Buccaneers lost by 0.8 on average, 4-8 against the spread. Panthers lost by 4.8 on average, 7-6 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026
Tampa Bay LLLLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 20%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-2 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 20%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Carolina LWLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-2 50%Small sample | 2-2 50% overSmall sample |
| Home | 1-1 50%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-1 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-2 50%Small sample |
4 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | CAR 14, TB 16 | TB -3 | CAR covered | 42.5 | Under |
| Dec 21, 2025 | TB 20, CAR 23 | TB -3 | CAR covered | 44.5 | Under |
| Dec 29, 2024 | CAR 14, TB 48 | TB -9.5 | TB covered | 47.5 | Over |
| Dec 1, 2024 | TB 26, CAR 23 | TB -6.5 | CAR covered | 46.5 | Over |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TB 9, CAR 0 | TB -4.5 | TB covered | 36.5 | Under |
| Dec 3, 2023 | CAR 18, TB 21 | TB -4 | CAR covered | 37 | Over |
| Jan 1, 2023 | CAR 24, TB 30 | TB -3.5 | TB covered | 40.5 | Over |
| Oct 23, 2022 | TB 3, CAR 21 | TB -13 | CAR covered | 38 | Under |
| Jan 9, 2022 | CAR 17, TB 41 | TB -11 | TB covered | 43 | Over |
| Dec 26, 2021 | TB 32, CAR 6 | TB -11.5 | TB covered | 44 | Under |
| Nov 15, 2020 | TB 46, CAR 23 | TB -6 | TB covered | 49.5 | Over |
| Sep 20, 2020 | CAR 17, TB 31 | TB -8 | TB covered | 47.5 | Over |
| Oct 13, 2019 | CAR 37, TB 26 | CAR -1.5 | CAR covered | 64 | Under |
| Sep 12, 2019 | TB 20, CAR 14 | CAR -6.5 | TB covered | 44.5 | Under |
Tampa Bay 8-6 ATS in these meetings. 14 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
NFL, 2019-2025 · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
 TB | CAR  | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 2-2 |
| 1-4 | Against the spread | 2-2 |
| 2-3 | Over-under | 2-2 |
| -1.5 | Avg cover margin | +3.4 |
| 20.0 | Points per game | 30.2 |
| 22.4 | Points allowed | 27.2 |
| 5.32 | Yards per play | 6.29 |
| 323.4 | Yards per game | 421.5 |
| 4.90 | Rush yards per carry | 4.40 |
| 65.6 | Completion % | 62.0 |
| 38.2 | Third down % | 38.0 |
| +0 | Turnover margin | +4 |
| 17 | Sacks allowed | 10 |
| 58.2 | Penalty yards per game | 67.5 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.