CFB · 2026 betting profile
Baylor Bears
4-1 straight up · 4-1 ATS · 2-3 over-under · #27 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMFS1FOX One
vs
TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned FrogsSpreadBaylor -5.5
Total48.5
Moneyline-225
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 7 PM
TCU2-3
Baylor4-1+5.5-5.5o48.5u48.5+190-225BAY -6.5moved 1 to TCUFS1FOX OneOpen BAY -6.5 · moved 1 to TCUFS1FOX OneSat Oct 24, TBABaylor4-1
Kansas2-3No line yet–TV TBATV TBA
TCU2-3Baylor4-1+5.5-5.5o48.5u48.5+190-225BAY -6.5moved 1 to TCUFS1FOX OneOpen BAY -6.5 · moved 1 to TCUFS1FOX OneSat Oct 24, TBABaylor4-1Kansas2-3No line yet–TV TBATV TBAOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +9.3 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +39.5 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Underdog | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +22.5 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +20.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +9.3 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -4.7 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7.5 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +24.5 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +3 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -9.8 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -4.7 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | at Arizona State | W 55-19 | +3.5 | W +39.5 | 49.5 | O +24.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Colorado | W 23-13 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 54.5 | U -18.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Louisiana Tech | W 36-19 | -20.5 | L -3.5 | 50.5 | O +4.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Prairie View A&M Panthers | W 44-3 | -37.5 | W +3.5 | 55.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Auburn | L 16-17 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 58.5 | U -25.5 |
Close is Baylor's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | 2-3 | 40% | +9.3 |
| 2025 | 5-7 | 2-10 | 17% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -6.7 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | +4.8 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 3-8-1 | 27% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -9.2 |
| 2022 | 6-7 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 12-2 | 10-4 | 71% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +7.6 |
| 2020 | 2-7 | 2-5-1 | 29% | Small sample | 3-5-1 | 38% | -4.5 |
| 2019 | 11-3 | 9-5 | 64% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +5.9 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.