CFB · 2026 betting profile
Colorado State Rams
2-4 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 6-0 over-under · #125 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 24, 6:30 PMThe CW
vs
San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State AztecsLineNot posted yet
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | -2.1 |
| Home | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +2.6 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -11.5 |
| Favorite | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +17 |
| Underdog | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -11.6 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -23.2 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +8.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -6.4 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 6-0 | 100% | Small sample | +21.5 |
| Home | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +14.5 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +35.5 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +22.5 |
| Non-conference | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +21 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +25.3 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | at Texas State | L 27-66 | +15.5 | L -23.5 | 69.5 | O +23.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Oregon State | L 26-56 | +7 | L -23 | 60.5 | O +21.5 |
| Sep 26 | at UTSA | L 45-59 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 56.5 | O +47.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs BYU | L 23-41 | +17.5 | L -0.5 | 54.5 | O +9.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds | W 58-24 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 57.5 | O +24.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Wyoming | W 35-13 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 45.5 | O +2.5 |
Close is Colorado State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 6-0 | 100% | -2.1 |
| 2025 | 2-10 | 4-7 | 36% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -8.1 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -2.1 |
| 2023 | 5-7 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -2.2 |
| 2022 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 1-11 | 8% | -3.5 |
| 2021 | 3-9 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -3.4 |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | 2-2 | 50% | -7.8 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | +3.1 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.