OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

UTSA Roadrunners

5-1 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #65 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 8 PMESPNUESPN Unlimited
vsNavy Midshipmen
SpreadUTSA -6.5
Total55.5
Moneyline-260
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games4-267%Small sample+0.7
Home2-167%Small sample+0.5
Road2-167%Small sample+0.8
Favorite2-250%Small sample-2
Underdog2-0100%Small sample+6
Conference1-150%Small sample-4
Non-conference3-175%Small sample+3
Last 53-260%Small sample+0.7

6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games3-350%Small sample-0.5
Home3-0100%Small sample+18.2
Road0-30%Small sample-19.2
Conference1-150%Small sample-10.5
Non-conference2-250%Small sample+4.5
Last 52-340%Small sample-0.9

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 8vs South FloridaW 31-24-5.5W +1.549.5O +5.5
Oct 3at RiceW 16-14-11.5L -9.556.5U -26.5
Sep 26vs Colorado StateW 59-45-14.5L -0.556.5O +47.5
Sep 19at TexasL 6-30+29.5W +5.558.5U -22.5
Sep 12at Texas StateW 31-26+1.5W +6.565.5U -8.5
Sep 5vs UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosW 45-16-28.5W +0.559.5O +1.5

Close is UTSA's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20265-14-267%Small sample3-350%+0.7
20257-67-654%Small sample10-377%+4.2
20247-67-558%Small sample9-375%-0.3
20239-46-6-150%Small sample5-838%+1.5
202211-37-750%Small sample8-657%+0.7
202112-29-564%Small sample8-657%+2.6
20207-57-558%Small sample4-833%+7
20194-87-558%Small sample6-650%+0.7

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

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