Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
FRES 0, USC 39. USC covered by 17.5, under by 12.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
Public cappers
None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.
Common opponents
No common opponents yet this season.
Last season (2025): 1 common opponent
| Opponent |  Fresno St |  USC |
|---|---|---|
 Georgia Southern | W 42-14 home +28 · +1.5 Covered | W 59-20 home +39 · -28.5 Covered |
Against 1 common opponent: Fresno St won by 28.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. USC won by 39.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026 to date
Fresno State LWWWWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 83%Small sample | 3-3 50% overSmall sample |
| Road | 2-1 67%Small sample | 0-3 0% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-1 67%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 100%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
USC WLLLLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-5 29%Small sample | 4-3 57% overSmall sample |
| Home | 1-4 20%Small sample | 3-2 60% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 2-4 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 20%Small sample |
7 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | FRES 0, USC 39 | USC -21.5 | USC covered | 51.5 | Under |
| Sep 17, 2022 | FRES 17, USC 45 | USC -11.5 | USC covered | 71 | Under |
| Aug 31, 2019 | FRES 23, USC 31 | USC -14 | FRES covered | 50.5 | Over |
Fresno State 1-2 ATS in these meetings. 3 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
 FRES | USC  | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 6-1 |
| 5-1 | Against the spread | 2-5 |
| 3-3 | Over-under | 4-3 |
| +8.1 | Avg cover margin | -5.3 |
| 28.3 | Points per game | 36.4 |
| 20.0 | Points allowed | 25.1 |
| 5.88 | Yards per play | 6.58 |
| 363.7 | Yards per game | 462.4 |
| 4.50 | Rush yards per carry | 4.30 |
| 64.8 | Completion % | 68.6 |
| 36.6 | Third down % | 51.2 |
| +10 | Turnover margin | +3 |
| 9 | Sacks allowed | 7 |
| 32.0 | Penalty yards per game | 55.7 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.