CFB · 2026 betting profile
USC Trojans
6-1 straight up · 2-5 ATS · 4-3 over-under · #29 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 24, 7:30 PMNBCPeacock
at
Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin BadgersSpreadUSC -1.5
Total52.5
Moneyline-120
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-5 | 29% | Small sample | -5.3 |
| Home | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -5.9 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -3.8 |
| Favorite | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -4.4 |
| Underdog | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -10.5 |
| Conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -5.4 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -5.2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -6.6 |
7 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-3 | 57% | Small sample | +3.8 |
| Home | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +1.9 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +8.5 |
| Conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +3 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +6.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Penn State | W 31-23 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 54.5 | U -0.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Washington | W 25-21 | -7.5 | L -3.5 | 58.5 | U -12.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Oregon | L 27-41 | +3.5 | L -10.5 | 60.5 | O +7.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Rutgers | W 42-35 | -21 | L -14 | 59.5 | O +17.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Louisiana | W 49-30 | -30.5 | L -11.5 | 58.5 | O +20.5 |
| Sep 4 | vs Fresno State | W 39-0 | -21.5 | W +17.5 | 51.5 | U -12.5 |
| Aug 29 | vs San José State | W 42-26 | -37.5 | L -21.5 | 61.5 | O +6.5 |
Close is USC's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6-1 | 2-5 | 29% | Small sample | 4-3 | 57% | -5.3 |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 4-9 | 31% | Small sample | 10-3 | 77% | -5.7 |
| 2022 | 11-3 | 8-6 | 57% | Small sample | 11-3 | 79% | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 6-5-1 | 55% | -7.1 |
| 2020 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 1-5 | 17% | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 12-1 | 92% | +0.7 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.