Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
NEV 20, MTSU 27. MTSU covered by 10.5, under by 3.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
No common opponents yet this season.
Last season (2025): 1 common opponent
| Opponent |  Nevada |  Middle Tennessee |
|---|---|---|
 Western Kentucky | L 16-31 away -15 · +7.5 Didn't cover | L 26-42 away -16 · +13.5 Didn't cover |
Against 1 common opponent: Nevada lost by 15.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Middle Tennessee lost by 16.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026 to date
Nevada WLLWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 60%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 0-2 0% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-1 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Middle Tennessee WWWLLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 67%Small sample | 2-4 33% overSmall sample |
| Home | 3-0 100%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 3-2 60%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | NEV 20, MTSU 27 | NEV -3.5 | MTSU covered | 50.5 | Under |
| Sep 13, 2025 | MTSU 14, NEV 13 | NEV -9.5 | MTSU covered | 49.5 | Under |
Nevada 0-2 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
 NEV | MTSU  | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 3-3 |
| 3-2 | Against the spread | 4-2 |
| 2-3 | Over-under | 2-4 |
| +5.2 | Avg cover margin | -1.8 |
| 27.8 | Points per game | 22.8 |
| 22.0 | Points allowed | 28.3 |
| 5.71 | Yards per play | 5.53 |
| 380.4 | Yards per game | 321.5 |
| 5.40 | Rush yards per carry | 4.70 |
| 56.9 | Completion % | 58.2 |
| 35.9 | Third down % | 25.8 |
| -2 | Turnover margin | +6 |
| 7 | Sacks allowed | 7 |
| 57.0 | Penalty yards per game | 52.3 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.