CFB · 2026 betting profile
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
3-3 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 2-4 over-under · #119 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameTue Oct 20, 7 PMCBSSN
at
Florida International Panthers
Florida International PanthersSpreadMiddle Tennessee +10.5
Total45.5
Moneyline+320
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | -1.8 |
| Home | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +5.5 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -9 |
| Favorite | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +1.5 |
| Underdog | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -2.4 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +0.8 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | -3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -2.4 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -1.2 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +2.2 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -0.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -1.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -0.7 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13 | vs Delaware | W 33-30 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 49.5 | O +13.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Kansas | L 0-55 | +21.5 | L -33.5 | 51.5 | O +3.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Jacksonville State | L 13-23 | +7 | L -3 | 50.5 | U -14.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Nevada | W 27-20 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 50.5 | U -3.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Marshall | L 26-28 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 56.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Murray State Racers | W 38-14 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 55.5 | U -3.5 |
Close is Middle Tennessee's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 2-4 | 33% | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -3.8 |
| 2024 | 3-9 | 2-9 | 18% | Small sample | 5-6 | 46% | -6.5 |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -2.2 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 6-6-1 | 50% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | +3.2 |
| 2021 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +7.8 |
| 2020 | 3-6 | 5-4 | 56% | Small sample | 5-4 | 56% | -6 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 8-4 | 67% | +0.1 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.