Source: DraftKings.
LOU 28, NCSU 31. NCSU covered by 8.5, over by 2.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
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No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  Louisville |  NC St |
|---|---|---|
 Miami | W 24-21 away +3 · +10.5 Covered | L 7-41 away -34 · +16.5 Didn't cover |
 Pittsburgh | W 34-27 away +7 · -3.5 Covered | L 34-53 away -19 · +5.5 Didn't cover |
 Virginia | L 27-30 home -3 · -6.5 Didn't cover | W 35-31 home +4 · -2.5 Covered |
 Virginia Tech | W 28-16 away +12 · -10.5 Covered | L 21-23 home -2 · -10.5 Didn't cover |
Against 4 common opponents: Louisville won by 4.8 on average, 3-1 against the spread. NC St lost by 12.8 on average, 1-3 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Louisville WWWLLW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 67%Small sample | 5-1 83% overSmall sample |
| Road | 0-1 0%Small sample | 1-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 3-2 60%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NC State LWLLWL| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 33%Small sample | 4-2 67% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-2 50%Small sample | 3-1 75% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-3 25%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | LOU 28, NCSU 31 | LOU -5.5 | NCSU covered | 56.5 | Over |
| Sep 29, 2023 | LOU 13, NCSU 10 | LOU -3 | Push | 56.5 | Under |
| Nov 19, 2022 | NCSU 10, LOU 25 | LOU -4 | LOU covered | 43 | Under |
| Oct 30, 2021 | LOU 13, NCSU 28 | NCSU -6 | NCSU covered | 57 | Under |
| Nov 16, 2019 | LOU 34, NCSU 20 | LOU -3.5 | LOU covered | 51 | Over |
Louisville 2-2 ATS in these meetings. 5 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
 LOU | NCSU  | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 3-3 |
| 4-2 | Against the spread | 2-4 |
| 5-1 | Over-under | 4-2 |
| +2.3 | Avg cover margin | +0.4 |
| 39.5 | Points per game | 33.0 |
| 27.7 | Points allowed | 27.7 |
| 7.57 | Yards per play | 5.85 |
| 494.5 | Yards per game | 426.3 |
| 6.30 | Rush yards per carry | 4.50 |
| 69.6 | Completion % | 67.5 |
| 44.8 | Third down % | 51.1 |
| +7 | Turnover margin | +5 |
| 11 | Sacks allowed | 11 |
| 74.5 | Penalty yards per game | 47.5 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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