Source: DraftKings.
MSU 3, WIS 31. WIS covered by 19.5, under by 9.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
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Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent |  Michigan St |  Wisconsin |
|---|---|---|
 Eastern Michigan | W 35-7 home +28 · -17.5 Covered | W 54-10 home +44 · -23.5 Covered |
 Notre Dame | L 10-27 away -17 · +28.5 Covered | L 13-41 neutral -28 · +21 Didn't cover |
Against 2 common opponents: Michigan St won by 5.5 on average, 2-0 against the spread. Wisconsin won by 8.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread.
| Opponent | Michigan St | Wisconsin |
|---|---|---|
 Indiana | L 13-38 away -25 · +26.5 Covered | L 7-31 away -24 · +27.5 Covered |
 Iowa | L 17-20 away -3 · +17.5 Covered | L 0-37 home -37 · +4.5 Didn't cover |
 Maryland | W 38-28 neutral +10 · -4 Covered | L 10-27 home -17 · -10.5 Didn't cover |
 Michigan | L 20-31 home -11 · +13.5 Covered | L 10-24 away -14 · +17.5 Covered |
 Minnesota | L 20-23 away -3 · +5.5 Covered | L 7-17 away -10 · -2.5 Didn't cover |
Against 5 common opponents: Michigan St lost by 6.4 on average, 5-0 against the spread. Wisconsin lost by 20.4 on average, 2-3 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Michigan State PWWLLW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2-1 60%Small sample | 2-4 33% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 0-2 0% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-2 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Wisconsin LLWWW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 60%Small sample | 3-2 60% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-1 67%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 2-1 67%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | MSU 3, WIS 31 | WIS -8.5 | WIS covered | 43.5 | Under |
| Oct 15, 2022 | WIS 28, MSU 34 | WIS -7 | MSU covered | 49.5 | Over |
| Oct 12, 2019 | MSU 0, WIS 38 | WIS -8 | WIS covered | 43.5 | Under |
Michigan State 1-2 ATS in these meetings. 3 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
 MSU | WIS  | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 4-1 |
| 3-2-1 | Against the spread | 3-2 |
| 2-4 | Over-under | 3-2 |
| -1.3 | Avg cover margin | +6 |
| 21.3 | Points per game | 31.6 |
| 25.7 | Points allowed | 16.6 |
| 4.55 | Yards per play | 6.16 |
| 311.7 | Yards per game | 379.4 |
| 3.30 | Rush yards per carry | 4.70 |
| 66.5 | Completion % | 56.6 |
| 42.5 | Third down % | 44.1 |
| +2 | Turnover margin | -1 |
| 19 | Sacks allowed | 3 |
| 39.8 | Penalty yards per game | 51.2 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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