OfftheNumber
at
3-3, 2-4 ATS
17
FinalESPN+

Closing number

Spread
WMU -13.5
BUF +13.5
Open –
Total
Over 46.5
Under 46.5

Source: DraftKings.

WMU 20, BUF 17. BUF covered by 10.5, under by 9.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread1 capper on Buffalo
Western Michigan 01 Buffalo

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
Opponent Western Michigan Buffalo
Central Michigan
W 24-21 home
+3 · -5.5 Didn't cover
L 19-38 away
-19 · +2.5 Didn't cover
Eastern Michigan
W 31-21 away
+10 · -7 Covered
W 31-30 home
+1 · -9.5 Didn't cover
Massachusetts
W 21-3 away
+18 · -12.5 Covered
W 28-21 away
+7 · -16.5 Didn't cover
Miami (OH)
L 17-26 away
-9 · +2.5 Didn't cover
L 20-37 home
-17 · +2.5 Didn't cover
W 23-13 neutral
+10 · -2.5 Covered
-
Ohio
W 17-13 home
+4 · -1.5 Covered
L 26-31 home
-5 · +7 Covered

Against 5 common opponents: Western Michigan won by 6.0 on average, 4-2 against the spread. Buffalo lost by 6.6 on average, 1-4 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
0 Western Michigan1 Buffalo
Buffalo +13.51
Josh Pate *Line +13.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 2 7:11 PM ET · Flat record 34-31, -0.1u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Western Michigan WWLLLW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Road1-2 33%Small sample1-2 33% overSmall sample
As favorite2-2 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Buffalo LLLLWW

ATSTotals
All games2-4 33%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Home1-2 33%Small sample1-2 33% overSmall sample
As underdog2-2 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 3, 2026WMU 20, BUF 17WMU -13.5BUF covered46.5Under
Oct 19, 2024WMU 48, BUF 41WMU -1.5WMU covered48.5Over
Oct 2, 2021WMU 24, BUF 17WMU -7Push59.5Under

Western Michigan 1-1 ATS in these meetings. 3 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2021-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

WMUBUF
4-2Record3-3
3-3Against the spread2-4
3-3Over-under3-3
+3.5Avg cover margin-0.3
25.7Points per game20.8
17.3Points allowed26.8
5.32Yards per play4.17
330.7Yards per game318.8
4.30Rush yards per carry3.70
67.6Completion %51.6
43.2Third down %35.8
+8Turnover margin+4
8Sacks allowed16
48.2Penalty yards per game57.8

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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