Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
FSU 20, LOU 44. LOU covered by 20, over by 3.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
Public cappers
Each capper counts once. See their picks
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.
Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent | ||
|---|---|---|
L 24-27 home -3 · +3 Push | W 41-31 home +10 · -3 Covered |
Against 1 common opponent: Florida St lost by 3.0 on average, 0-0-1 against the spread. Louisville won by 10.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
| Opponent | ||
|---|---|---|
L 10-24 away -14 · +1.5 Didn't cover | L 19-20 home -1 · -2.5 Didn't cover | |
L 22-28 home -6 · +2.5 Didn't cover | W 24-21 away +3 · +10.5 Covered | |
L 31-34 home -3 · -11.5 Didn't cover | W 34-27 away +7 · -3.5 Covered | |
L 38-46 away -8 · -6.5 Didn't cover | L 27-30 home -3 · -6.5 Didn't cover | |
W 34-14 home +20 · -13.5 Covered | W 28-16 away +12 · -10.5 Covered |
Against 5 common opponents: Florida St lost by 2.2 on average, 1-4 against the spread. Louisville won by 3.6 on average, 3-2 against the spread.
What the public cappers like
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Betting form, 2026 to date
Florida State LPWLWL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3-1 40%Small sample | 2-4 33% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-1-1 67%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 50%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Louisville WWWLLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 67%Small sample | 5-1 83% overSmall sample |
| Home | 3-1 75%Small sample | 3-1 75% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 3-2 60%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FSU 20, LOU 44 | LOU -4 | LOU covered | 60.5 | Over |
| Dec 2, 2023 | LOU 6, FSU 16 | LOU -1 | FSU covered | 45.5 | Under |
| Sep 16, 2022 | FSU 35, LOU 31 | FSU -2.5 | FSU covered | 57 | Over |
| Sep 25, 2021 | LOU 31, FSU 23 | FSU -1.5 | LOU covered | 61 | Under |
| Oct 24, 2020 | FSU 16, LOU 48 | LOU -5.5 | LOU covered | 62.5 | Over |
| Sep 21, 2019 | LOU 24, FSU 35 | FSU -6.5 | FSU covered | 58.5 | Over |
Florida State 3-3 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
| LOU | ||
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 3-3 |
| 2-3-1 | Against the spread | 4-2 |
| 2-4 | Over-under | 5-1 |
| -2.5 | Avg cover margin | +2.3 |
| 31.0 | Points per game | 39.5 |
| 25.3 | Points allowed | 27.7 |
| 6.08 | Yards per play | 7.57 |
| 409.5 | Yards per game | 494.5 |
| 4.80 | Rush yards per carry | 6.30 |
| 59.6 | Completion % | 69.6 |
| 42.3 | Third down % | 44.8 |
| -2 | Turnover margin | +7 |
| 16 | Sacks allowed | 11 |
| 59.3 | Penalty yards per game | 74.5 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

