OfftheNumber
Buffalo Bulls
3-3, 2-4 ATS
23
at
Toledo Rockets
4-2, 2-3-1 ATS
8
FinalESPN+

Closing number

Spread
BUF +18.5
TOL -18.5
Open –
Total
Over 54.5
Under 54.5

Source: DraftKings.

BUF 23, TOL 8. BUF covered by 33.5, under by 23.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

SpreadSplit 1-1
Buffalo 11 Toledo

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
Opponent Buffalo Toledo
Akron
L 16-24 home
-8 · -10.5 Didn't cover
W 45-3 home
+42 · -22.5 Covered
Bowling Green
W 28-3 away
+25 · +2.5 Covered
L 23-28 away
-5 · -10.5 Didn't cover
Central Michigan
L 19-38 away
-19 · +2.5 Didn't cover
W 21-3 away
+18 · -10.5 Covered
Kent St
W 31-28 away
+3 · -24.5 Didn't cover
W 45-10 home
+35 · -25.5 Covered
Miami (OH)
L 20-37 home
-17 · +2.5 Didn't cover
W 24-3 away
+21 · -6.5 Covered

Against 5 common opponents: Buffalo lost by 3.2 on average, 1-4 against the spread. Toledo won by 22.2 on average, 4-1 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 Buffalo1 Toledo
Toledo -20.51
Rico Bosco *Line -20.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 7 6:50 PM ET · Flat record 48-35, +8.7u · Original post
Buffalo -20.51
Josh Pate *Line -20.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 7 6:45 PM ET · Flat record 34-31, -0.1u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Buffalo LLLLWW

ATSTotals
All games2-4 33%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Road1-2 33%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As underdog2-2 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Toledo PWLWLL

ATSTotals
All games2-3-1 40%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Home2-2 50%Small sample3-1 75% overSmall sample
As favorite2-3 40%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10, 2026BUF 23, TOL 8TOL -18.5BUF covered54.5Under
Oct 12, 2024TOL 15, BUF 30TOL -10.5BUF covered44.5Over
Oct 31, 2023BUF 13, TOL 31TOL -15TOL covered47Under
Oct 22, 2022TOL 27, BUF 34TOL -7BUF covered56Over
Nov 20, 2019TOL 30, BUF 49BUF -10BUF covered52.5Over

Buffalo 4-1 ATS in these meetings. 5 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

BUFTOL
3-3Record4-2
2-4Against the spread2-3-1
3-3Over-under5-1
-0.3Avg cover margin-0.6
20.8Points per game36.7
26.8Points allowed25.2
4.17Yards per play6.61
318.8Yards per game454.8
3.70Rush yards per carry5.10
51.6Completion %63.1
35.8Third down %43.4
+4Turnover margin+5
16Sacks allowed3
57.8Penalty yards per game69.0

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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