Spread
No picks
Total
1 Over0 Under
Over 56.51
Dave Portnoy 1u*Line 56.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 32-34-1 · Original post
Moneyline
No picks
The number
Spread
FSU +21 -108
MIA -21 -113
Open MIA -21.5 moved 0.5
Fair, no vig: FSU +102 / MIA -102 (hold 5.0%)
Best: FSU +21 -107 at Bally Bet; MIA -20.5 -110 at FanDuel
Total
Over 56.5 -110
Under 56.5 -110
Fair, no vig: O -100 / U -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: O 56.5 -105 at Fanatics; U 56.5 -108 at DraftKings
Moneyline
FSU +1000
MIA -2000
Fair, no vig: FSU +1048 / MIA -1048 (hold 4.3%)
Best: FSU +1100 at theScore Bet; MIA -1600 at BetMGM
Updated Fri 3 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.
Every book (10)
| Book | FSU | MIA | Over | Under | FSU ML | MIA ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +21-115 | -21-105 | o56.5-112 | u56.5-108 | +1000 | -1800 |
| FanDuel | +20.5-110 | -20.5-110 | o56.5-110 | u56.5-110 | +920 | -1800 |
| BetMGM | +20.5-105 | -20.5-112 | o56.5-110 | u56.5-108 | +1050 | -1600 |
| Caesars | +20.5-109 | -20.5-110 | o56.5-107 | u56.5-113 | +1000 | -2000 |
| theScore Bet | +20.5+100 | -20.5-120 | o56.5-110 | u56.5-110 | +1100 | -2500 |
| BetRivers | +21-108 | -21-114 | o56.5-113 | u56.5-110 | +1000 | -2500 |
| Fanatics | +21-110 | -21-110 | o56.5-105 | u56.5-115 | +1050 | -1800 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +20.5+100 | -20.5-120 | o56.5-110 | u56.5-110 | +1000 | -2000 |
| Bally Bet | +21-107 | -21-113 | o56.5-112 | u56.5-109 | +1000 | -2000 |
| betPARX | +21-107 | -21-113 | o56.5-112 | u56.5-109 | +1000 | -2000 |
Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.
Injury report
From the ACC availability report (Thursday report). Posted Thu 8 PM ET. Schools file it the three nights before the game and 2 hours before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report
Florida StateOut
- Blake Nichelson LB
- Daylen Green LB
- Devin Carter WR
- Izayia Williams LB
- Jamari Howard DB
- Jordan Crutchfield DB
- Karson Hobbs DB
- Noah LaVallee LB
- Samuel Singleton Jr. RB
Probable
Darryll Desir (DL), Paul Bowling (OL), Zae Thomas (DB)
MiamiOut
- CharMar Brown RB
- Ja'Boree Antoine DB
- Joshua Moore WR
- Luka Gilbert TE
- Max Buchanan OL
- Romanas "OJ" Frederique Jr. DB
No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 8 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.
Line movement
Key numbers crossed: none (MIA -21.5 to MIA -21).
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Tracker bettors
Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We don't copy them here. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Betting form, 2026
Florida State LPWLWL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3-1 40%Small sample | 2-4 33% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-1-1 67%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 50%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Miami WWLWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 80%Small sample | 4-1 80% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-0 100%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 4-1 80%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | MIA 28, FSU 22 | MIA -2.5 | MIA covered | 54.5 | Under |
| Oct 26, 2024 | FSU 14, MIA 36 | MIA -21.5 | MIA covered | 53.5 | Under |
| Nov 11, 2023 | MIA 20, FSU 27 | FSU -14 | MIA covered | 50 | Under |
| Nov 5, 2022 | FSU 45, MIA 3 | FSU -6.5 | FSU covered | 54 | Under |
| Nov 13, 2021 | MIA 28, FSU 31 | MIA -2.5 | FSU covered | 61 | Under |
| Sep 26, 2020 | FSU 10, MIA 52 | MIA -12 | MIA covered | 53.5 | Over |
| Nov 2, 2019 | MIA 27, FSU 10 | FSU -2.5 | MIA covered | 49 | Under |
Florida State 2-5 ATS in these meetings. 7 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
| FSU | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 5-0 |
| 2-3-1 | Against the spread | 4-1 |
| 2-4 | Over-under | 4-1 |
| -2.5 | Avg cover margin | +7.8 |
| 31.0 | Points per game | 49.6 |
| 25.3 | Points allowed | 9.8 |
| 6.08 | Yards per play | 8.09 |
| 409.5 | Yards per game | 554.8 |
| 4.80 | Rush yards per carry | 6.20 |
| 59.6 | Completion % | 83.0 |
| 42.3 | Third down % | 51.1 |
| -2 | Turnover margin | +5 |
| 16 | Sacks allowed | 5 |
| 59.3 | Penalty yards per game | 59.0 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
What the public cappers like
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks