CFB · 2026 betting profile
Miami Hurricanes
5-0 straight up · 4-1 ATS · 4-1 over-under · #4 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMESPNESPN Unlimited
vs
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State SeminolesSpreadMiami -20.5
Total56.5
Moneyline-2000
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 7 PM
Florida State3-3
3Miami5-0+20.5-20.5o56.5u56.5+1000-2000MIA -21.5moved 1 to FSUESPNESPN UnlimitedOpen MIA -21.5 · moved 1 to FSUESPNESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 12 PM
Pittsburgh5-13Miami5-0+23.5-23.5o53.5u53.5+1300-2800–TV TBATV TBA
Florida State3-33Miami5-0+20.5-20.5o56.5u56.5+1000-2000MIA -21.5moved 1 to FSUESPNESPN UnlimitedOpen MIA -21.5 · moved 1 to FSUESPNESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 12 PMPittsburgh5-13Miami5-0+23.5-23.5o53.5u53.5+1300-2800–TV TBATV TBAOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +7.8 |
| Home | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +9 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +7 |
| Favorite | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +7.8 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +7 |
| Non-conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +9 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +7.8 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +5.3 |
| Home | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +10 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +2.2 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +2.2 |
| Non-conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +10 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +5.3 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | at Clemson | W 41-13 | -14 | W +14 | 49.5 | O +4.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Central Michigan | W 52-3 | -41.5 | W +7.5 | 52.5 | O +2.5 |
| Sep 18 | at Wake Forest | W 33-20 | -20.5 | L -7.5 | 55.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 10 | vs Florida A&M Rattlers | W 77-7 | -59.5 | W +10.5 | 66.5 | O +17.5 |
| Sep 4 | at Stanford | W 45-6 | -24.5 | W +14.5 | 46.5 | O +4.5 |
Close is Miami's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-0 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | 4-1 | 80% | +7.8 |
| 2025 | 13-3 | 11-5 | 69% | Small sample | 7-9 | 44% | +4.9 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 9-3 | 75% | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 5-7 | 2-10 | 17% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | -17.5 |
| 2021 | 7-5 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 8-3 | 6-5 | 55% | Small sample | 6-5 | 55% | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 6-6-1 | 50% | -5.4 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.