
CFB · 2026 betting profile
Georgia State Panthers
4-1 straight up · 5-0 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #57 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 12 PMESPNUESPN Unlimited
at
James Madison Dukes
SpreadGeorgia State +8.5
Total57.5
Moneyline+310
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 12 PM
Georgia State4-1
James Madison6-0+8.5-8.5o57.5u57.5+310-400JMU -11.5moved 3 to GASTESPNUESPN UnlimitedOpen JMU -11.5 · moved 3 to GASTESPNUESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 7 PM
Georgia State4-1
Arkansas State2-4No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+
Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +17.7 |
| Home | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +21.2 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +12.5 |
| Favorite | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +21.2 |
| Underdog | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +12.5 |
| Conference | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +30.5 |
| Non-conference | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +14.5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +17.7 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +3.9 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +1.2 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +8 |
| Conference | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +3.9 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | vs Old Dominion | W 42-10 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 51.5 | O +0.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Northern Illinois | W 35-14 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 56.5 | U -7.5 |
| Sep 19 | at UCF | L 30-44 | +17.5 | W +3.5 | 50.5 | O +23.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Kennesaw State | W 31-17 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 55.5 | U -7.5 |
| Sep 4 | vs North Carolina A&T Aggies | W 59-10 | -28.5 | W +20.5 | 58.5 | O +10.5 |
Close is Georgia State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | +17.7 |
| 2025 | 1-11 | 2-10 | 17% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -7 |
| 2024 | 3-9 | 4-7 | 36% | Small sample | 6-5 | 55% | -4.1 |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -1.4 |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 6-5-1 | 55% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +2.7 |
| 2020 | 6-4 | 7-2 | 78% | Small sample | 7-3 | 70% | +4 |
| 2019 | 7-6 | 6-5-2 | 55% | Small sample | 6-6-1 | 50% | -0.1 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.