OfftheNumber
Sat Oct 17 · 12 PMESPNUESPN UnlimitedBridgeforth Stadium

The number

Spread
GAST +9.5 -110
JMU -9.5 -110
Open JMU -11.5 moved 2
Fair, no vig: GAST -100 / JMU -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: GAST +10.5 -122 at FanDuel; JMU -9 -110 at betPARX
Total
Over 57.5 -112
Under 57.5 -108
Fair, no vig: O -102 / U +102 (hold 4.8%)
Best: O 57.5 -110 at FanDuel; U 57.5 -105 at Hard Rock Bet
Moneyline
GAST +310
JMU -400
Fair, no vig: GAST +328 / JMU -328 (hold 4.4%)
Best: GAST +350 at Hard Rock Bet; JMU -365 at FanDuel

Updated Fri 4:10 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookGASTJMUOverUnderGAST MLJMU ML
DraftKings+10-112-10-108o57.5-112u57.5-108+310-395
FanDuel+10.5-122-10.5+100o57.5-110u57.5-110+290-365
BetMGM+9-110-9-118o57.5-110u57.5-108+310-375
Caesars+10-113-10-107o57.5-110u57.5-110+295-380
theScore Bet+9.5-105-9.5-115o57.5-110u57.5-110+300-400
BetRivers+9.5-113-9.5-110o57.5-115u57.5-108+340-480
Hard Rock Bet+9.5-110-9.5-110o57.5-115u57.5-105+350-475
Bally Bet+9-109-9-110o57.5-114u57.5-107+340-480
betPARX+9-109-9-110o57.5-114u57.5-107+340-480

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

Key numbers crossed: none (JMU -11.5 to JMU -9.5).

-6-8-10-12-14key 7key 10key 14OpenNow
JMU line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
56575859OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Injury report

From the Sun Belt availability report (Initial Report). Posted Wed 8:01 PM ET. First report three days out, then a game day update by 10:30 AM ET. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

Georgia State
Out
  • Ryan Green ILB
Doubtful
  • Jamari Miller WR
  • Matt Buron TE
Probable

Jordan Brown (OL)

James Madison
Out
  • Frankie Tinilau OL
  • Jayden Studio ILB
Questionable
  • Corey Scott WR

What changed and what the line did

  1. Line moved 1.5 pts toward GAST (JMU -10 to JMU -8.5).
  2. Line moved 1.5 pts toward JMU (JMU -8.5 to JMU -10).
  3. Line moved 0.5 pts toward GAST (JMU -10 to JMU -9.5).

Lines from our snapshots of 10 legal US books. A move right after news doesn't prove the news caused it, but it's usually why.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread1 capper on James Madison
Georgia St 01 James Madison

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Georgia St James Madison
Old Dominion
W 42-10 home
+32 · -1.5 Covered
W 46-20 away
+26 · -7 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: Georgia St won by 32.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. James Madison won by 26.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 6 common opponents
Opponent Georgia St James Madison
App St
L 20-41 home
-21 · +2.5 Didn't cover
W 58-10 home
+48 · -19.5 Covered
Coastal Carolina
L 27-40 away
-13 · +7.5 Didn't cover
W 59-10 away
+49 · -23.5 Covered
Georgia Southern
L 24-41 away
-17 · +6.5 Didn't cover
W 35-10 home
+25 · -16.5 Covered
Marshall
L 18-30 home
-12 · +9.5 Didn't cover
W 35-23 away
+12 · -13.5 Didn't cover
Old Dominion
L 10-27 away
-17 · +28.5 Covered
W 63-27 home
+36 · -3.5 Covered
Troy
L 19-31 away
-12 · +10.5 Didn't cover
W 31-14 home
+17 · -24.5 Didn't cover

Against 6 common opponents: Georgia St lost by 15.3 on average, 1-5 against the spread. James Madison won by 31.2 on average, 4-2 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
0 Georgia St1 James Madison
James Madison -11.51
Big Cat *Line -11.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026

Georgia State WWWWW

ATSTotals
All games5-0 100%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Road2-0 100%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog2-0 100%Small sample
Last 55-0 100%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

James Madison WWWWWL

ATSTotals
All games5-1 83%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Home3-0 100%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As favorite4-1 80%Small sample
Last 54-1 80%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 4, 2025JMU 14, GAST 7JMU -18.5GAST covered52.5Under
Nov 9, 2024GAST 7, JMU 38JMU -15.5JMU covered54.5Under
Nov 4, 2023JMU 42, GAST 14JMU -6JMU covered52Over
Nov 19, 2022GAST 40, JMU 42JMU -10GAST covered52Over

Georgia State 2-2 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2022-2025 · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

GASTJMU
4-1Record6-0
5-0Against the spread5-1
3-2Over-under3-3
+17.7Avg cover margin+13.8
39.4Points per game41.8
19.0Points allowed15.0
6.66Yards per play6.50
468.6Yards per game452.0
5.30Rush yards per carry5.60
66.9Completion %64.9
50.7Third down %39.0
+0Turnover margin+9
2Sacks allowed9
60.6Penalty yards per game71.3

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

The Friday Number

One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.

Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.