CFB · 2026 betting profile
New Mexico Lobos
4-1 straight up · 5-0 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #39 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 10:30 PMFS1FOX One
at
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsSpreadNew Mexico -14.5
Total44.5
Moneyline-780
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 10:30 PM
New Mexico4-1
Hawai'i1-5-14.5+14.5o44.5u44.5-780+525UNM -14.5FS1FOX OneOpen UNM -14.5FS1FOX OneSat Oct 24, 10 PM
North Dakota State5-1New Mexico4-1+4.5-4.5o46.5u46.5+160-192–The CWThe CW
New Mexico4-1Hawai'i1-5-14.5+14.5o44.5u44.5-780+525UNM -14.5FS1FOX OneOpen UNM -14.5FS1FOX OneSat Oct 24, 10 PMNorth Dakota State5-1New Mexico4-1+4.5-4.5o46.5u46.5+160-192–The CWThe CWOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +19.3 |
| Home | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +23.5 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +13 |
| Favorite | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +20.8 |
| Underdog | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +13.5 |
| Conference | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +30.5 |
| Non-conference | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +16.5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +19.3 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +5.5 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +13.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -6.5 |
| Conference | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +20.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +5.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | vs UTEP | W 61-7 | -23.5 | W +30.5 | 47.5 | O +20.5 |
| Sep 26 | at New Mexico State | W 42-18 | -11.5 | W +12.5 | 47.5 | O +12.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Oklahoma | L 6-14 | +21.5 | W +13.5 | 45.5 | U -25.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Mercyhurst Lakers | W 70-7 | -42.5 | W +20.5 | 54.5 | O +22.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Central Michigan | W 38-7 | -11.5 | W +19.5 | 47.5 | U -2.5 |
Close is New Mexico's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | +19.3 |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | +5.1 |
| 2024 | 5-7 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 9-3 | 75% | +1 |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 9-3 | 75% | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 2-10 | 3-8-1 | 27% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -2.8 |
| 2021 | 3-9 | 1-11 | 8% | Small sample | 3-9 | 25% | -6.8 |
| 2020 | 2-5 | 4-3 | 57% | Small sample | 4-3 | 57% | +2.6 |
| 2019 | 2-10 | 3-8-1 | 27% | Small sample | 4-7-1 | 36% | -3.7 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.