CFB · 2026 betting profile
TCU Horned Frogs
2-3 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 1-4 over-under · #49 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMFS1FOX One
at
Baylor Bears
Baylor BearsSpreadTCU +5.5
Total48.5
Moneyline+190
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 7 PM
TCU2-3
Baylor4-1+5.5-5.5o48.5u48.5+190-225BAY -6.5moved 1 to TCUFS1FOX OneOpen BAY -6.5 · moved 1 to TCUFS1FOX OneSat Oct 24, 12 PM
West Virginia3-3TCU2-3No line yet–ESPN2ESPN UnlimitedESPN2ESPN Unlimited
TCU2-3Baylor4-1+5.5-5.5o48.5u48.5+190-225BAY -6.5moved 1 to TCUFS1FOX OneOpen BAY -6.5 · moved 1 to TCUFS1FOX OneSat Oct 24, 12 PMWest Virginia3-3TCU2-3No line yet–ESPN2ESPN UnlimitedESPN2ESPN UnlimitedOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -1.7 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +5.2 |
| Road | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -11.5 |
| Favorite | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -1.8 |
| Underdog | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -1.5 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -6.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +1.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -1.7 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -12.5 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -8.8 |
| Road | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -14.5 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -18 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -8.8 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -12.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | vs BYU | L 10-17 | +5.5 | L -1.5 | 48.5 | U -21.5 |
| Sep 26 | at UCF | L 13-21 | -3.5 | L -11.5 | 48.5 | U -14.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Arkansas State | W 31-7 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 56.5 | U -18.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Grambling Tigers | W 63-7 | -44.5 | W +11.5 | 56.5 | O +13.5 |
| Aug 29 | vs North Carolina | L 10-15 | -7.5 | L -12.5 | 46.5 | U -21.5 |
Close is TCU's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | 1-4 | 20% | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +3.2 |
| 2023 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | -3.4 |
| 2022 | 13-2 | 10-4-1 | 71% | Small sample | 9-6 | 60% | +5.4 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 2-9-1 | 18% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | -9.4 |
| 2020 | 6-4 | 7-3 | 70% | Small sample | 5-5 | 50% | +2.5 |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -2.7 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.