CFB · 2026 betting profile
Troy Trojans
3-2 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 1-4 over-under · #85 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 5 PMESPN+
at
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Louisiana Ragin' CajunsSpreadTroy +3
Total49.5
Moneyline+128
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 5 PM
Troy3-2
Louisiana4-2+3-3o49.5u49.5+128-150UL -4.5moved 1.5 to TROYESPN+Open UL -4.5 · moved 1.5 to TROYESPN+Sat Oct 24, 4 PM
UL Monroe0-5Troy3-2No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+
Troy3-2Louisiana4-2+3-3o49.5u49.5+128-150UL -4.5moved 1.5 to TROYESPN+Open UL -4.5 · moved 1.5 to TROYESPN+Sat Oct 24, 4 PMUL Monroe0-5Troy3-2No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +0.2 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +4.2 |
| Favorite | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Underdog | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +4.2 |
| Conference | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +11.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -2.6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +0.2 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | +1.3 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +9.5 |
| Road | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -11 |
| Conference | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +37.5 |
| Non-conference | 0-4 | 0% | Small sample | -7.8 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | +1.3 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | vs Southern Miss | W 55-34 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 51.5 | O +37.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Utah State | L 10-21 | +3 | L -8 | 47.5 | U -16.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Missouri | L 17-27 | +26.5 | W +16.5 | 49.5 | U -5.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Alabama State Hornets | W 34-17 | -23.5 | L -6.5 | 52.5 | U -1.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Sam Houston | W 24-21 | -15.5 | L -12.5 | 52.5 | U -7.5 |
Close is Troy's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | 1-4 | 20% | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 8-6 | 10-4 | 71% | Small sample | 5-9 | 36% | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 11-3 | 8-6 | 57% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +4 |
| 2022 | 12-2 | 11-3 | 79% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +4.3 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | -5.5 |
| 2020 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 46% | Small sample | 3-7-1 | 30% | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 6-5 | 55% | -4.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.