Southern Miss Golden Eagles
1-4 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #131 of 138 in our ratings
Arkansas State Red WolvesUpcoming lines
Arkansas State2-4
Southern Miss1-4-6.5+6.5o62.5u62.5-250+202ARST -6.5ESPN+Open ARST -6.5ESPN+Sat Oct 24, 5 PM
Louisiana4-2Southern Miss1-4No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +0.3 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +0.2 |
| Favorite | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +25.5 |
| Underdog | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -6 |
| Conference | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -11.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +3.2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +0.3 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +7.7 |
| Home | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +7 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +8.2 |
| Conference | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +37.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +0.2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +7.7 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | at Troy | L 34-55 | +9.5 | L -11.5 | 51.5 | O +37.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Tulane | L 21-24 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 52.5 | U -7.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs UConn | L 20-48 | +3.5 | L -24.5 | 54.5 | O +13.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Auburn | L 8-43 | +32.5 | L -2.5 | 56.5 | U -5.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Alcorn State Braves | W 49-3 | -20.5 | W +25.5 | 51.5 | O +0.5 |
Close is Southern Miss's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 7-6 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 1-11 | 4-7 | 36% | Small sample | 4-7 | 36% | -8.3 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 9-3 | 75% | -5.4 |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 10-3 | 77% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | +9.1 |
| 2021 | 3-9 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | -1.5 |
| 2020 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 40% | Small sample | 4-6 | 40% | -6 |
| 2019 | 7-6 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 4-9 | 31% | -1.4 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.