
CFB · 2026 betting profile
Vanderbilt Commodores
3-3 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 4-2 over-under · #82 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
vs
Arkansas Razorbacks
SpreadVanderbilt -6
Total50.5
Moneyline-235
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 7 PM
Arkansas2-4
Vanderbilt3-3+6-6o50.5u50.5+190-235VAN -6ESPN2ESPN UnlimitedOpen VAN -6ESPN2ESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 7:30 PM
Vanderbilt3-3
15Kentucky5-1+9.5-9.5o52.5u52.5+310-395–SEC NetworkESPN UnlimitedSEC NetworkESPN Unlimited
Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | -6.8 |
| Home | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -11.6 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.8 |
| Favorite | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7 |
| Underdog | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -6.7 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -6.7 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -6.1 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | PK |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +4 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -8 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -0.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +4.1 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Ole Miss | L 17-52 | +9.5 | L -25.5 | 54.5 | O +14.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Georgia | L 14-38 | +25.5 | W +1.5 | 49.5 | O +2.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Auburn | L 15-21 | +10 | W +4 | 54.5 | U -18.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs NC State | W 35-31 | -3 | W +1 | 50.5 | O +15.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Delaware | W 35-26 | -20.5 | L -11.5 | 54.5 | O +6.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Austin Peay Governors | W 28-9 | -29.5 | L -10.5 | 57.5 | U -20.5 |
Close is Vanderbilt's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 4-2 | 67% | -6.8 |
| 2025 | 10-3 | 10-3 | 77% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | +9.1 |
| 2024 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +7.7 |
| 2023 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 17% | Small sample | 8-4 | 67% | -4.3 |
| 2022 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +1 |
| 2021 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -3.2 |
| 2020 | 0-9 | 3-5 | 38% | Small sample | 4-5 | 44% | -6.3 |
| 2019 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 25% | Small sample | 2-9 | 18% | -5.9 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.