Source: DraftKings.
MIA 13, SF 35. SF covered by 9.5, over by 3.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.
No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  Dolphins |  49ers |
|---|---|---|
 Falcons | W 34-10 away +24 · +6.5 Covered | W 20-10 home +10 · +1.5 Covered |
 Panthers | L 24-27 away -3 · -1.5 Didn't cover | W 20-9 home +11 · -7 Covered |
 Browns | L 6-31 away -25 · +2.5 Didn't cover | W 26-8 away +18 · -5.5 Covered |
 Colts | L 8-33 away -25 · +1.5 Didn't cover | W 48-27 away +21 · -4.5 Covered |
 Saints | W 21-17 home +4 · no line | W 26-21 away +5 · -2.5 Covered |
 Buccaneers | W 20-17 home +3 · +5.5 Covered | L 19-30 away -11 · +3.5 Didn't cover |
Against 6 common opponents: Dolphins lost by 3.7 on average, 2-3 against the spread. 49ers won by 9.0 on average, 5-1 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Miami LLLWW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 40%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-2 33%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-3 40%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
San Francisco WWLWW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 80%Small sample | 3-2 60% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-1 67%Small sample | 2-1 67% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 2-1 67%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | MIA 13, SF 35 | SF -12.5 | SF covered | 44.5 | Over |
| Dec 22, 2024 | SF 17, MIA 29 | SF -1.5 | MIA covered | 44.5 | Over |
| Dec 4, 2022 | MIA 17, SF 33 | SF -5 | SF covered | 46 | Over |
| Oct 11, 2020 | MIA 43, SF 17 | SF -8 | MIA covered | 50.5 | Over |
Miami 2-2 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
NFL, 2020-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total
 MIA | SF  | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | Record | 5-0 |
| 2-3 | Against the spread | 4-1 |
| 2-3 | Over-under | 3-2 |
| -3.8 | Avg cover margin | +8.9 |
| 14.0 | Points per game | 30.8 |
| 26.4 | Points allowed | 18.6 |
| 5.41 | Yards per play | 6.48 |
| 296.4 | Yards per game | 367.8 |
| 4.90 | Rush yards per carry | 4.60 |
| 56.2 | Completion % | 69.0 |
| 41.3 | Third down % | 51.9 |
| -2 | Turnover margin | +4 |
| 14 | Sacks allowed | 3 |
| 52.0 | Penalty yards per game | 48.6 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.
Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.
