San Francisco 49ers
5-0 straight up · 4-1 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #1 of 32 in our ratings
Washington CommandersUpcoming lines
Washington1-3
San Francisco5-0+7.5-7.5o51.5u51.5+320-430SF -7.5ESPNESPN UnlimitedOpen SF -7.5ESPNESPN UnlimitedSun Oct 25, 1 PMSan Francisco5-0
Atlanta2-3-4.5+4.5o49.5u49.5-230+185–FOXFOX OneFOXFOX OneOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +8.9 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +5 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +6 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +5 |
| Underdog | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +14.8 |
| Non-conference | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +8.9 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +8.9 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.3 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +3.5 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +14.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.3 |
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | at Seattle | W 32-29 | +3 | W +6 | 46.5 | O +14.5 |
| Oct 4 | vs Denver | W 24-14 | -3 | W +7 | 48.5 | U -10.5 |
| Sep 27 | vs Arizona | W 36-30 | -7.5 | L -1.5 | 48.5 | O +17.5 |
| Sep 20 | vs Miami | W 35-13 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 44.5 | O +3.5 |
| Sep 10 | vs Los Angeles | W 27-7 | +3.5 | W +23.5 | 47.5 | U -13.5 |
Close is San Francisco's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-0 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | +8.9 |
| 2025 | 13-6 | 11-8 | 58% | Small sample | 11-8 | 58% | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 6-11 | 5-12 | 29% | Small sample | 11-6 | 65% | -5.3 |
| 2023 | 14-6 | 9-11 | 45% | Could be luck | 11-8-1 | 58% | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 15-5 | 13-7 | 65% | Could be luck | 10-10 | 50% | +3.4 |
| 2021 | 12-8 | 12-8 | 60% | Could be luck | 8-11-1 | 42% | +1.1 |
| 2020 | 6-10 | 7-9 | 44% | Small sample | 8-8 | 50% | -1 |
| 2019 | 15-4 | 11-7-1 | 61% | Small sample | 11-8 | 58% | +6.1 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.