Source: DraftKings.
KC 24, MIA 10. KC covered by 4, under by 11.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.
No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  Chiefs |  Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
 Ravens | W 37-20 home +17 · +2.5 Covered | L 6-28 home -22 · +7.5 Didn't cover |
 Bills | L 21-28 away -7 · -2.5 Didn't cover | L 21-31 away -10 · +11.5 Covered |
| - | W 30-13 home +17 · +8.5 Covered | |
 Colts | W 23-20 home +3 · -4.5 Didn't cover | L 8-33 away -25 · +1.5 Didn't cover |
 Chargers | L 21-27 neutral -6 · -3.5 Didn't cover | L 27-29 home -2 · +3.5 Covered |
L 13-16 home -3 · -5.5 Didn't cover | - | |
 Commanders | W 28-7 home +21 · -11.5 Covered | W 16-13 neutral +3 · -2.5 Covered |
Against 5 common opponents: Chiefs won by 4.2 on average, 2-4 against the spread. Dolphins lost by 6.5 on average, 4-2 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Kansas City WLWL| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-2 50%Small sample | 2-2 50% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 2-2 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-2 50%Small sample |
4 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Miami LLLWW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 40%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Home | 1-1 50%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-3 40%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | KC 24, MIA 10 | KC -10 | KC covered | 45.5 | Under |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MIA 7, KC 26 | KC -4.5 | KC covered | 43.5 | Under |
| Nov 5, 2023 | MIA 14, KC 21 | MIA -1 | KC covered | 51 | Under |
| Dec 13, 2020 | KC 33, MIA 27 | KC -7.5 | MIA covered | 50.5 | Over |
Kansas City 3-1 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
NFL, 2020-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total
 KC | MIA  | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 0-5 |
| 2-2 | Against the spread | 2-3 |
| 2-2 | Over-under | 2-3 |
| +4.8 | Avg cover margin | -3.8 |
| 29.5 | Points per game | 14.0 |
| 19.2 | Points allowed | 26.4 |
| 6.69 | Yards per play | 5.41 |
| 421.5 | Yards per game | 296.4 |
| 5.50 | Rush yards per carry | 4.90 |
| 64.1 | Completion % | 56.2 |
| 44.0 | Third down % | 41.3 |
| +5 | Turnover margin | -2 |
| 6 | Sacks allowed | 14 |
| 63.8 | Penalty yards per game | 52.0 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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