Kansas City Chiefs
4-0 straight up · 2-2 ATS · 2-2 over-under · #3 of 32 in our ratings
Los Angeles ChargersUpcoming lines
Los Angeles0-5
Kansas City4-0+7.5-7.5o41u41+320-420KC -8.5moved 1 to LACCBSParamount+Open KC -8.5 · moved 1 to LACCBSParamount+Sun Oct 25, 8:20 PMKansas City4-0
Seattle3-3No line yet–NBCPeacockNBCPeacockOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +7.8 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Favorite | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +4.8 |
4 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +3.2 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +7.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +3.2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +3.2 |
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | at Las Vegas | W 30-27 | -3.5 | L -0.5 | 47.5 | O +9.5 |
| Sep 27 | at Miami | W 24-10 | -10 | W +4 | 45.5 | U -11.5 |
| Sep 20 | vs Indianapolis | W 33-30 | -6 | L -3 | 46.5 | O +16.5 |
| Sep 14 | vs Denver | W 31-10 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 42.5 | U -1.5 |
Close is Kansas City's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | 2-2 | 50% | +4.8 |
| 2025 | 6-11 | 6-10 | 38% | Small sample | 4-13 | 24% | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 17-3 | 8-12 | 40% | Could be luck | 9-11 | 45% | -1.6 |
| 2023 | 15-6 | 13-7-1 | 65% | Could be luck | 8-13 | 38% | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 17-3 | 8-11-1 | 42% | Could be luck | 9-11 | 45% | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 14-6 | 10-10 | 50% | Could be luck | 12-8 | 60% | +0.7 |
| 2020 | 16-3 | 8-11 | 42% | Small sample | 8-11 | 42% | -1.2 |
| 2019 | 15-4 | 14-5 | 74% | Small sample | 8-11 | 42% | +5.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.