OfftheNumber
0-5, 0-4-1 ATS
at
4-0, 2-2 ATS
Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PMCBSParamount+Arrowhead Stadium

The number

Spread
LAC +7.5 -115
KC -7.5 -105
Open KC -8.5 moved 1
Fair, no vig: LAC -104 / KC +104 (hold 4.7%)
Best: LAC +8 -114 at Bally Bet; KC -7 -120 at theScore Bet
Total
Over 41 -112
Under 41 -109
Fair, no vig: O -101 / U +101 (hold 5.0%)
Best: O 40.5 -120 at theScore Bet; U 41.5 -110 at FanDuel
Moneyline
LAC +320
KC -425
Fair, no vig: LAC +340 / KC -340 (hold 4.8%)
Best: LAC +335 at Bally Bet; KC -380 at theScore Bet

Updated Fri 2:55 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (10)
BookLACKCOverUnderLAC MLKC ML
DraftKings+7.5-115-7.5-105o41.5-105u41.5-115+330-425
FanDuel+7.5-115-7.5-105o41.5-110u41.5-110+310-390
BetMGM+7.5-115-7.5-105o41.5-105u41.5-112+320-400
Caesars+7.5-115-7.5-105o41.5-109u41.5-112+320-400
theScore Bet+7+100-7-120o40.5-120u40.5+100+290-380
BetRivers+8-114-8-108o41-112u41-109+335-455
Fanatics+7.5-115-7.5-105o41-110u41-110+310-400
Hard Rock Bet+7.5-115-7.5-105o41-115u41-105+325-450
Bally Bet+8-114-8-108o41-112u41-109+335-455
betPARX+8-114-8-108o41-112u41-109+335-455

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Injury report

From the NFL official injury report (NFL.com). Checked Fri 2:52 PM ET. Teams post practice reports Wednesday to Friday and game statuses Friday. We check every 30 minutes then and on game day. See the official report

Los Angeles

Missed practice: Alec Ingold (FB), Bud Dupree (DE), Derwin James (S), Donte Jackson (CB), Joe Alt (T), Kayode Awosika (G), Rodney Shelley (CB), Tre Harris (WR)

10 more limited in practice, no game status yet.

Kansas City

Missed practice: Rashee Rice (WR)

3 more limited in practice, no game status yet.

What changed and what the line did

  1. Line moved 0.5 pts toward LAC (KC -8 to KC -7.5).

Lines from our snapshots of 10 legal US books. A move right after news doesn't prove the news caused it, but it's usually why.

Line movement

Key numbers crossed: none (KC -8.5 to KC -7.5).

-6-7-8-9-10-11key 7key 10OpenNow
KC line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
3940414243OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We don't copy them here. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Betting form, 2026

Los Angeles LLLPL

ATSTotals
All games0-4-1 0%Small sample1-4 20% overSmall sample
Road0-1-1 0%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog0-2-1 0%Small sample
Last 50-4-1 0%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Kansas City WLWL

ATSTotals
All games2-2 50%Small sample2-2 50% overSmall sample
Home1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As favorite2-2 50%Small sample
Last 52-2 50%Small sample

4 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Chargers Chiefs
Broncos
L 17-23 home
-6 · +3 Didn't cover
W 31-10 home
+21 · -2.5 Covered
Raiders
L 14-26 home
-12 · -6.5 Didn't cover
W 30-27 away
+3 · -3.5 Didn't cover

Against 2 common opponents: Chargers lost by 9.0 on average, 0-2 against the spread. Chiefs won by 12.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 10 common opponents
Opponent Chargers Chiefs
Cowboys
W 34-17 away
+17 · +1.5 Covered
L 28-31 away
-3 · no line
Broncos
W 23-20 home
+3 · -2.5 Covered
L 19-22 away
-3 · -4.5 Didn't cover
L 3-19 away
-16 · +15.5 Didn't cover
L 13-20 home
-7 · +13.5 Covered
Texans
L 16-20 home
-4 · -1.5 Didn't cover
L 10-20 home
-10 · -4.5 Didn't cover
Colts
L 24-38 home
-14 · -2.5 Didn't cover
W 23-20 home
+3 · -4.5 Didn't cover
Jaguars
L 6-35 away
-29 · -2.5 Didn't cover
L 28-31 away
-3 · -3.5 Didn't cover
Raiders
W 20-9 away
+11 · -3.5 Covered
W 31-0 home
+31 · -13.5 Covered
W 31-14 home
+17 · -9.5 Covered
L 12-14 away
-2 · -3.5 Didn't cover
Giants
L 18-21 away
-3 · -5.5 Didn't cover
W 22-9 away
+13 · -5.5 Covered
Eagles
W 22-19 home
+3 · +1.5 Covered
L 17-20 home
-3 · +1.5 Didn't cover
Titans
W 27-20 away
+7 · -9.5 Didn't cover
L 9-26 away
-17 · -3.5 Didn't cover
Commanders
L 10-27 home
-17 · -3.5 Didn't cover
W 28-7 home
+21 · -11.5 Covered

Against 10 common opponents: Chargers lost by 2.1 on average, 5-7 against the spread. Chiefs won by 1.7 on average, 4-7 against the spread.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Dec 14, 2025LAC 16, KC 13KC -5.5LAC covered41.5Under
Sep 5, 2025KC 21, LAC 27KC -3.5LAC covered47.5Over
Dec 8, 2024LAC 17, KC 19KC -5.5LAC covered43.5Under
Sep 29, 2024KC 17, LAC 10KC -7.5LAC covered41.5Under
Jan 7, 2024KC 13, LAC 12LAC -3.5KC covered34Under
Oct 22, 2023LAC 17, KC 31KC -5.5KC covered47.5Over
Nov 20, 2022KC 30, LAC 27KC -5.5LAC covered52.5Over
Sep 15, 2022LAC 24, KC 27KC -4LAC covered52.5Under
Dec 16, 2021KC 34, LAC 28KC -3.5KC covered54Over
Sep 26, 2021LAC 30, KC 24KC -7LAC covered54.5Under
Jan 3, 2021LAC 38, KC 21LAC -6.5LAC covered43.5Over
Sep 20, 2020KC 23, LAC 20KC -8LAC covered47.5Under
Dec 29, 2019LAC 21, KC 31KC -7.5KC covered45.5Over
Nov 18, 2019KC 24, LAC 17KC -6KC covered52.5Under

Los Angeles 9-5 ATS in these meetings. 14 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

LACKC
0-5Record4-0
0-4-1Against the spread2-2
1-4Over-under2-2
-8.6Avg cover margin+4.8
16.8Points per game29.5
25.8Points allowed19.2
5.12Yards per play6.69
315.6Yards per game421.5
4.40Rush yards per carry5.50
59.0Completion %64.1
34.8Third down %44.0
-2Turnover margin+5
17Sacks allowed6
76.4Penalty yards per game63.8

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

The Friday Number

One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.

Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.