NFL · 2026 betting profile
Jacksonville Jaguars
4-1 straight up · 3-2 ATS · 1-4 over-under · #2 of 32 in our ratings
Next gameSun Oct 18, 9:30 AMNFL NetworkESPN Unlimited
vs
Houston Texans
Houston TexansSpreadJacksonville -2.5
Total42.5
Moneyline-148
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +7.8 |
| Home | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +20.8 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +1.5 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +12 |
| Underdog | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +1.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +7.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +7.8 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -6.5 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1 |
| Road | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -12.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -6.5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -6.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs Philadelphia | W 19-17 | -7.5 | L -5.5 | 41.5 | U -5.5 |
| Oct 4 | at Cincinnati | W 22-17 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 51.5 | U -12.5 |
| Sep 27 | vs New England | W 35-6 | -3 | W +26 | 46.5 | U -5.5 |
| Sep 20 | at Denver | L 13-20 | +2.5 | L -4.5 | 45.5 | U -12.5 |
| Sep 13 | vs Cleveland | W 34-10 | -8.5 | W +15.5 | 40.5 | O +3.5 |
Close is Jacksonville's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | 1-4 | 20% | +7.8 |
| 2025 | 13-5 | 12-6 | 67% | Small sample | 10-8 | 56% | +6.3 |
| 2024 | 4-13 | 10-7 | 59% | Small sample | 9-8 | 53% | -3.9 |
| 2023 | 9-8 | 9-8 | 53% | Small sample | 8-9 | 47% | -1.3 |
| 2022 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 53% | Small sample | 9-10 | 47% | +4.5 |
| 2021 | 3-14 | 5-12 | 29% | Small sample | 5-12 | 29% | -5.4 |
| 2020 | 1-15 | 7-8 | 47% | Small sample | 8-7-1 | 53% | -2.9 |
| 2019 | 6-10 | 7-9 | 44% | Small sample | 8-8 | 50% | -3.7 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.