NHL · 2026-27 betting profile
Ottawa Senators
6-2 straight up · 3-5 ATS · 2-6 over-under
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMESPN+
at
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia FlyersSpreadOttawa -1.5
Total5.5
Moneyline-141
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-5 | 38% | Small sample | +0.4 |
| Home | 0-4 | 0% | Small sample | -1.2 |
| Road | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +2 |
| Favorite | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | PK |
| Underdog | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +0.8 |
| Non-conference | 3-5 | 38% | Small sample | +0.4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -0.1 |
8 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-6 | 25% | Small sample | -0.4 |
| Home | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -0.5 |
| Road | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -0.2 |
| Non-conference | 2-6 | 25% | Small sample | -0.4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -0.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | vs New York | W 2-1 | -1.5 | L -0.5 | 5.5 | U -2.5 |
| Oct 13 | vs St. Louis | L 2-7 | +1.5 | L -3.5 | 5.5 | O +3.5 |
| Oct 12 | at New Jersey | W 4-1 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 5.5 | U -0.5 |
| Oct 10 | vs Nashville | W 3-2 | -1.5 | L -0.5 | 5.5 | U -0.5 |
| Oct 8 | vs Philadelphia | W 2-1 | -1.5 | L -0.5 | 5.5 | U -2.5 |
| Oct 6 | at Detroit | L 3-5 | +1.5 | L -0.5 | 6.5 | O +1.5 |
| Oct 5 | at Boston | W 4-1 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 5.5 | U -0.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Toronto | W 3-2 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 6.5 | U -1.5 |
Close is Ottawa's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 6-2 | 3-5 | 38% | Small sample | 2-6 | 25% | +0.4 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.