Toronto Maple Leafs
3-5 straight up · 3-5 ATS · 5-3 over-under
New York IslandersUpcoming lines
New York3-4
Toronto3-5+115-139+1.5-1.5o6.5u6.5–ESPN+ESPN+Mon Oct 19, 7:30 PM
San Jose4-3Toronto3-5No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-5 | 38% | Small sample | -0.4 |
| Home | 0-5 | 0% | Small sample | -1.7 |
| Road | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Favorite | 0-5 | 0% | Small sample | -1.7 |
| Underdog | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Non-conference | 3-5 | 38% | Small sample | -0.4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +0.5 |
8 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
NHL, 2027 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 100% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-3 | 62% | Small sample | +0.8 |
| Home | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +0.1 |
| Road | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Non-conference | 5-3 | 62% | Small sample | +0.8 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.3 |
NHL, 2027 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 100% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | vs Buffalo | L 4-5 | -1.5 | L -2.5 | 6.5 | O +2.5 |
| Oct 13 | at Utah | L 4-5 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 6.5 | O +2.5 |
| Oct 10 | at Colorado | W 6-3 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 6.5 | O +2.5 |
| Oct 8 | at Vegas | L 3-4 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 6.5 | O +0.5 |
| Oct 6 | vs Nashville | W 5-4 | -1.5 | L -0.5 | 5.5 | O +3.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Ottawa | L 2-3 | -1.5 | L -2.5 | 6.5 | U -1.5 |
| Sep 30 | vs New York | W 2-1 | -1.5 | L -0.5 | 5.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 29 | vs Montreal | L 2-3 | -1.5 | L -2.5 | 6.5 | U -1.5 |
Close is Toronto's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 38% | Small sample | 5-3 | 62% | -0.4 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.