Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
MOST 13, WKU 34. WKU covered by 22.5, under by 9.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
No common opponents yet this season.
Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
| Opponent |  Missouri St |  Western Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
 Florida International | W 28-21 home +7 · -3.5 Covered | L 6-25 home -19 · -9.5 Didn't cover |
 Louisiana Tech | L 30-42 home -12 · -2.5 Didn't cover | W 28-27 away +1 · +4.5 Covered |
 Middle Tennessee | W 22-20 away +2 · -2.5 Didn't cover | W 42-26 home +16 · -13.5 Covered |
 New Mexico St | W 24-17 away +7 · -2.5 Covered | W 35-16 home +19 · -7.5 Covered |
Against 4 common opponents: Missouri St won by 1.0 on average, 2-2 against the spread. Western Kentucky won by 4.2 on average, 3-1 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026 to date
Missouri State LWLWLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 50%Small sample | 2-4 33% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-2 33%Small sample | 0-3 0% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-1 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Western Kentucky LWWLWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-3 57%Small sample | 3-4 43% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-0 100%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-2 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
7 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | MOST 13, WKU 34 | MOST -1.5 | WKU covered | 56.5 | Under |
| Sep 27, 2025 | WKU 27, MOST 22 | WKU -3.5 | WKU covered | 59.5 | Under |
Missouri State 0-2 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
 MOST | WKU  | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3-3 | Against the spread | 4-3 |
| 2-4 | Over-under | 3-4 |
| +1.2 | Avg cover margin | -2.8 |
| 22.2 | Points per game | 21.3 |
| 30.5 | Points allowed | 30.6 |
| 5.38 | Yards per play | |
| 357.0 | Yards per game | |
| 3.90 | Rush yards per carry | |
| 65.6 | Completion % | |
| 33.8 | Third down % | |
| +4 | Turnover margin | |
| 13 | Sacks allowed | |
| 65.7 | Penalty yards per game |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.