Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
3-4 straight up · 4-3 ATS · 3-4 over-under · #114 of 138 in our ratings
Nothing on the schedule in the next week or so.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-3 | 57% | Small sample | -2.8 |
| Home | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +14 |
| Road | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -9.5 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -6.5 |
| Underdog | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | PK |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -8.5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +5.3 |
7 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-4 | 43% | Small sample | -3.9 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Road | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -3.7 |
| Conference | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -17.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +6.2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -14.7 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | at Sam Houston | W 16-3 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 53.5 | U -34.5 |
| Oct 8 | vs Missouri State | W 34-13 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 56.5 | U -9.5 |
| Oct 1 | at New Mexico State | L 13-34 | +1.5 | L -19.5 | 55.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Mercyhurst Lakers | W 52-7 | -39.5 | W +5.5 | 58.5 | O +0.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Indiana | L 0-38 | +44.5 | W +6.5 | 59.5 | U -21.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Georgia | L 20-70 | +40.5 | L -9.5 | 55.5 | O +34.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Nevada | L 14-49 | -1.5 | L -36.5 | 51.5 | O +11.5 |
Close is Western Kentucky's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 57% | Small sample | 3-4 | 43% | -2.8 |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 10-3 | 77% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +3.7 |
| 2024 | 8-6 | 7-7 | 50% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | -2.4 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -3.5 |
| 2022 | 9-5 | 9-5 | 64% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +4.6 |
| 2021 | 9-5 | 10-4 | 71% | Small sample | 10-4 | 71% | +7.6 |
| 2020 | 5-7 | 3-8-1 | 27% | Small sample | 6-5 | 55% | -4.4 |
| 2019 | 9-4 | 8-4-1 | 67% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +5.5 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.