OfftheNumber
24
at
UTSA Roadrunners
5-1, 4-2 ATS
31
FinalESPNESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
USF +5.5
UTSA -5.5
Open –
Total
Over 49.5
Under 49.5

Source: DraftKings.

USF 24, UTSA 31. UTSA covered by 1.5, over by 5.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread1 capper on South Florida
South Florida 10 UTSA
Total1 capper on Under
Over 01 Under

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 3 common opponents
Opponent South Florida UTSA
Charlotte
W 54-26 home
+28 · -28.5 Didn't cover
W 28-7 away
+21 · -17.5 Covered
North Texas
W 63-36 away
+27 · +2.5 Covered
L 17-55 away
-38 · +3.5 Didn't cover
Rice
W 52-3 home
+49 · -28.5 Covered
W 61-13 home
+48 · -9.5 Covered

Against 3 common opponents: South Florida won by 34.7 on average, 2-1 against the spread. UTSA won by 10.3 on average, 2-1 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 South Florida0 UTSA
South Florida -71
Big Cat *Line -7 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 7 6:50 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
0 Over1 Under
Under 50.51
Tom Fornelli Line 50.5 · Price -110 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 8 3:39 PM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

South Florida LWWLLL

ATSTotals
All games2-4 33%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Road1-2 33%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As underdog1-1 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

UTSA WWWLLW

ATSTotals
All games4-2 67%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Home2-1 67%Small sample3-0 100% overSmall sample
As favorite2-2 50%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 8, 2026USF 24, UTSA 31UTSA -5.5UTSA covered49.5Over
Nov 6, 2025UTSA 23, USF 55USF -13.5USF covered66.5Over
Nov 17, 2023USF 21, UTSA 49UTSA -14.5UTSA covered66Over

South Florida 1-2 ATS in these meetings. 3 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2023-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

USFUTSA
4-2Record5-1
2-4Against the spread4-2
3-3Over-under3-3
-2.2Avg cover margin+0.7
26.2Points per game31.3
17.3Points allowed25.8
5.49Yards per play5.96
334.8Yards per game401.5
4.60Rush yards per carry5.40
60.9Completion %67.7
42.4Third down %37.0
+6Turnover margin+6
9Sacks allowed6
35.0Penalty yards per game87.8

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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