OfftheNumber
at
17
FinalESPNESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
UNC +3.5
PITT -3.5
Open –
Total
Over 47.5
Under 47.5

Source: DraftKings.

UNC 21, PITT 17. UNC covered by 7.5, under by 9.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

Spread3 of 3 on North Carolina
North Carolina 30 Pittsburgh
Moneyline5 of 6 on North Carolina
North Carolina 51 Pittsburgh

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 3 common opponents
Opponent North Carolina Pittsburgh
NC St
L 19-42 away
-23 · +7 Didn't cover
W 53-34 home
+19 · -5.5 Covered
Stanford
W 20-15 home
+5 · -8.5 Didn't cover
W 35-20 away
+15 · -13.5 Covered
Syracuse
W 27-10 away
+17 · +1.5 Covered
W 30-13 away
+17 · -8.5 Covered

Against 3 common opponents: North Carolina lost by 0.3 on average, 1-2 against the spread. Pittsburgh won by 17.0 on average, 3-0 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
3 North Carolina0 Pittsburgh
North Carolina -3.53
Big Cat *Line -3.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 9 5:42 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postStuckey *Line -4.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 9 12:56 PM ET · Flat record 41-28-1, +9.2u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postDave Portnoy *Line -3.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 7 6:50 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
1 North Carolina0 Pittsburgh
North Carolina1
Tom Fornelli Price +163 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 8 3:39 PM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on North Carolina, Kirk Herbstreit on North Carolina, Desmond Howard on Pittsburgh, Pat McAfee on North Carolina, Nick Saban on North Carolina

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

North Carolina WLLWW

ATSTotals
All games3-2 60%Small sample2-3 40% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog3-1 75%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Pittsburgh WLWWWL

ATSTotals
All games4-2 67%Small sample2-4 33% overSmall sample
Home3-2 60%Small sample1-4 20% overSmall sample
As favorite3-2 60%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10, 2026UNC 21, PITT 17PITT -3.5UNC covered47.5Under
Oct 5, 2024PITT 34, UNC 24PITT -2.5PITT covered61.5Under
Sep 23, 2023UNC 41, PITT 24UNC -7UNC covered49.5Over
Oct 29, 2022PITT 24, UNC 42UNC -3UNC covered65.5Over
Nov 11, 2021UNC 23, PITT 30PITT -6.5PITT covered72Under
Nov 14, 2019UNC 27, PITT 34PITT -4PITT covered49Over

North Carolina 3-3 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

UNCPITT
3-2Record5-1
3-2Against the spread4-2
2-3Over-under2-4
+4.1Avg cover margin+5
23.4Points per game34.8
19.0Points allowed14.7
5.66Yards per play6.23
330.6Yards per game459.8
3.90Rush yards per carry4.50
59.4Completion %65.9
38.2Third down %45.1
+3Turnover margin+6
11Sacks allowed7
27.4Penalty yards per game73.2

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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