OfftheNumber
13Missouri Tigers
5-1, 3-3 ATS
at
9Ole Miss Rebels
4-1, 2-3 ATS
Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PMSEC NetworkESPN UnlimitedVaught-Hemingway Stadium

The number

Spread
MIZ +5.5 -112
MISS -5.5 -110
Open MISS -6 moved 0.5
Fair, no vig: MIZ -101 / MISS +101 (hold 5.2%)
Best: MIZ +5.5 -105 at FanDuel; MISS -5 -110 at BetMGM
Total
Over 58.5 -110
Under 58.5 -110
Fair, no vig: O -100 / U -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: O 58.5 -108 at FanDuel; U 58.5 -105 at Fanatics
Moneyline
MIZ +180
MISS -225
Fair, no vig: MIZ +194 / MISS -194 (hold 4.9%)
Best: MIZ +185 at DraftKings; MISS -215 at Fanatics

Updated Fri 3 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (10)
BookMIZMISSOverUnderMIZ MLMISS ML
DraftKings+5.5-115-5.5-105o58.5-112u58.5-108+185-225
FanDuel+5.5-105-5.5-115o58.5-108u58.5-112+184-225
BetMGM+5-108-5-110o58.5-110u58.5-108+180-220
Caesars+5.5-108-5.5-112o58.5-112u58.5-109+181-218
theScore Bet+5.5-120-5.5+100o58.5-110u58.5-110+180-215
BetRivers+5.5-113-5.5-110o58.5-112u58.5-112+180-240
Fanatics+5.5-110-5.5-110o58.5-115u58.5-105+175-215
Hard Rock Bet+5.5-110-5.5-110o58.5-110u58.5-110+180-230
Bally Bet+5.5-112-5.5-110o58.5-110u58.5-110+180-235
betPARX+5.5-112-5.5-110o58.5-110u58.5-110+180-235

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Injury report

From the SEC availability report (Thursday report). Posted Thu 8:10 PM ET. Schools file it the three nights before the game and 90 minutes before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

Missouri
Out
  • Ahmad Hardy RB
  • Gavin Hoffman TE
  • JaDon Blair S
  • Josh Atkins OL
  • Khalief Canty Jr. OL
  • Malae Fonoti RB
Doubtful
  • Brett Norfleet TE
  • Jeremiah Beasley LB
Questionable
  • Robert Woodyard Jr. LB
  • Sterling Webb DT
Probable

Austin Simmons (QB), Cameron Keys (CB), Cayden Green (OL), Cayden Lee (WR), Daeden Hopkins (EDG), Darris Smith (EDG), Santana Banner (S)

Ole Miss
Out
  • Ant Davis Jr. LB
  • Edwin Joseph S
  • Emanuel Faulkner OL
  • Enoch Wangoy OL
  • Izaiah Hartrup WR
  • Ja'Michael Jones RB
  • Jalan Chapman OL
  • Kervin Johnson Jr. WR
  • Nascar McCoy S
Questionable
  • Hayden Bradley TE
Probable

Antonio Kite (CB), Ladarian Clardy (S), MJ Preston (S)

No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 8:10 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.

Line movement

Key numbers crossed: none (MISS -6 to MISS -5.5).

-2-3-4-5-6-7-8key 3key 7OpenNow
MISS line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
57585960OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread4 of 6 on Missouri
Missouri 42 Ole Miss
Total1 capper on Over
Over 10 Under
Moneyline1 capper on Missouri
Missouri 10 Ole Miss

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We don't copy them here. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Betting form, 2026

Missouri LWLLWW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog1-1 50%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Ole Miss LLWLW

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Home1-1 50%Small sample0-2 0% overSmall sample
As favorite1-2 33%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Missouri Ole Miss
Florida
W 45-17 home
+28 · +5.5 Covered
L 28-52 away
-24 · +4 Didn't cover

Against 1 common opponent: Missouri won by 28.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Ole Miss lost by 24.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent Missouri Ole Miss
Arkansas
W 31-17 away
+14 · -4.5 Covered
W 41-35 home
+6 · -4.5 Covered
Mississippi St
W 49-27 home
+22 · -7.5 Covered
W 38-19 away
+19 · -7.5 Covered
Oklahoma
L 6-17 away
-11 · +4.5 Didn't cover
W 34-26 away
+8 · +5.5 Covered
South Carolina
W 29-20 home
+9 · -10.5 Didn't cover
W 30-14 home
+16 · -13.5 Covered

Against 4 common opponents: Missouri won by 8.5 on average, 2-2 against the spread. Ole Miss won by 12.2 on average, 4-0 against the spread.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 12, 2019MISS 27, MIZ 38MIZ -12.5MISS covered56.5Over

Missouri 0-1 ATS in these meetings. 1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

MIZMISS
5-1Record4-1
3-3Against the spread2-3
3-3Over-under3-2
+4.6Avg cover margin+0.1
35.8Points per game38.8
17.7Points allowed28.0
6.30Yards per play6.38
438.2Yards per game433.8
4.70Rush yards per carry4.40
64.1Completion %68.9
42.2Third down %43.1
+8Turnover margin+1
6Sacks allowed5
64.5Penalty yards per game65.6

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

What the public cappers like

Spread
4 Missouri2 Ole Miss
Missouri -6.54
Big Cat 1u*Line -6 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 · Original postTaylor Lewan 3u*Line -6.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 3u as posted · Posted Oct 14 7:00 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original postWill Compton 1u*Line -6.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 14 7:00 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original postJosh Pate 3u*Line -6.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 3u as posted · Posted Oct 14 7:00 PM ET · Record 24-19 · Original post
Ole Miss -62
Rico Bosco 1u*Line -6 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 48-35 · Original postDave Portnoy 1u*Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 32-34-1 · Original post
Total
1 Over0 Under
Over 58.51
Dave Portnoy 1u*Line 58.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 32-34-1 · Original post
Moneyline
1 Missouri0 Ole Miss
Missouri1
Tom Fornelli 1uPrice +190 · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 2:01 PM ET · Record 34-43-1 · Original post

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

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