OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

Texas Longhorns

4-1 straight up · 1-4 ATS · 2-3 over-under · #11 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 12 PMABCESPN Unlimited
vsFlorida Gators
SpreadTexas -11.5
Total51.5
Moneyline-450
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games1-420%Small sample+0.5
Home1-233%Small sample+5.2
Road0-10%Small sample-2.5
Favorite1-420%Small sample+0.5
Conference0-20%Small sample-6.5
Non-conference1-233%Small sample+5.2
Last 51-420%Small sample+0.5

5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games2-340%Small sample-5.7
Home1-233%Small sample-7.2
Road0-10%Small sample-17.5
Conference1-150%Small sample-3.5
Non-conference1-233%Small sample-7.2
Last 52-340%Small sample-5.7

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10vs OklahomaL 24-27-7.5L -10.540.5O +10.5
Sep 26at TennesseeW 20-17-5.5L -2.554.5U -17.5
Sep 19vs UTSAW 30-6-29.5L -5.558.5U -22.5
Sep 12vs Ohio StateW 24-23-2.5L -1.550.5U -3.5
Sep 5vs Texas StateW 59-7-29.5W +22.561.5O +4.5

Close is Texas's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20264-11-420%Small sample2-340%+0.5
202510-35-838%Small sample6-746%-1.9
202413-38-850%Small sample6-1038%+0.2
202312-27-6-154%Small sample6-843%+3.4
20228-58-562%Small sample6-746%+4.7
20215-75-742%Small sample5-742%-2.2
20207-34-4-150%Small sample7-370%+6
20198-56-5-255%Small sample8-562%+2.4

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

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