Chicago Bears
3-2 straight up · 3-2 ATS · 1-4 over-under · #8 of 32 in our ratings
Atlanta FalconsUpcoming lines
Chicago3-2
Atlanta2-3-1+1o51.5u51.5-117-105–FOXFOX OneFOXFOX OneThu Oct 22, 8:15 PM
New England3-2Chicago3-2+2.5-2.5o49u49+110-130–Prime VideoPrime VideoOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.7 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +6.7 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -3.2 |
| Favorite | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -2.4 |
| Underdog | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +23 |
| Non-conference | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.7 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.7 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -2.3 |
| Home | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -17.2 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +20 |
| Non-conference | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -2.3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -2.3 |
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | at Green Bay | L 7-31 | -1.5 | L -25.5 | 46.5 | U -8.5 |
| Oct 4 | vs New York | W 23-12 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 43.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 28 | vs Philadelphia | W 27-7 | +3 | W +23 | 42.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 20 | vs Minnesota | L 3-9 | -4.5 | L -10.5 | 46.5 | U -34.5 |
| Sep 13 | at Carolina | W 59-37 | -3 | W +19 | 47.5 | O +48.5 |
Close is Chicago's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | 1-4 | 20% | +2.7 |
| 2025 | 12-7 | 13-6 | 68% | Small sample | 10-9 | 53% | +2.4 |
| 2024 | 5-12 | 9-8 | 53% | Small sample | 7-10 | 41% | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 7-10 | 8-7-2 | 53% | Small sample | 9-8 | 53% | +2.2 |
| 2022 | 3-14 | 5-12 | 29% | Small sample | 10-7 | 59% | -3 |
| 2021 | 6-11 | 6-11 | 35% | Small sample | 7-10 | 41% | -1.2 |
| 2020 | 8-9 | 8-9 | 47% | Small sample | 8-9 | 47% | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 8-8 | 5-11 | 31% | Small sample | 5-11 | 31% | -2.3 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.