NFL · 2026 betting profile
Minnesota Vikings
5-0 straight up · 4-1 ATS · 1-4 over-under · #5 of 32 in our ratings
Next gameSun Oct 25, 1 PMCBSParamount+
vs
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis ColtsSpreadMinnesota -5
Total43.5
Moneyline-235
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +7.2 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Road | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +8.8 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +5.7 |
| Underdog | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +9.5 |
| Non-conference | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +7.2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +7.2 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -8.5 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Road | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -14.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -8.5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -8.5 |
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | at New Orleans | W 23-13 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 41.5 | U -5.5 |
| Oct 4 | vs Miami | W 15-10 | -10 | L -5 | 38.5 | U -13.5 |
| Sep 27 | at Tampa Bay | W 23-16 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 42.5 | U -3.5 |
| Sep 20 | at Chicago | W 9-3 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 46.5 | U -34.5 |
| Sep 13 | vs Green Bay | W 39-22 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 46.5 | O +14.5 |
Close is Minnesota's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-0 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | 1-4 | 20% | +7.2 |
| 2025 | 9-8 | 8-9 | 47% | Small sample | 8-9 | 47% | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 14-4 | 12-6 | 67% | Small sample | 7-11 | 39% | +2.6 |
| 2023 | 7-10 | 7-7-3 | 50% | Small sample | 7-10 | 41% | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 13-5 | 7-11 | 39% | Small sample | 12-6 | 67% | -2.6 |
| 2021 | 8-9 | 9-8 | 53% | Small sample | 11-6 | 65% | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 7-9 | 6-10 | 38% | Small sample | 11-4-1 | 73% | -2.9 |
| 2019 | 11-7 | 9-9 | 50% | Small sample | 8-10 | 44% | +1.9 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.